Australia Defence and Security Report Q4 2012

  • ID: 2254358
  • September 2012
  • Region: Australia
  • 80 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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The Australia Defence and Security Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, defence and security associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Australia's defence and security industry.

BMI’s Australia Defence & Security report for Q4 2012 examines the country’s strategic position in the Pacific region and the wider world. It provides an overview of the contemporary geopolitical challenges facing the country, and the issues it may face in the future.

The report examines the trends occurring in the country’s current and future defence procurement, and the order of battle across its armed forces. The report’s general conclusion is that the Australian defence establishment faces an uncertain period as the ambitious objectives set out in the 2009 Defence White Paper have now been put on hold – and in some cases now face cancellation – by cuts to the defence budget. These have been enacted as part of a wider deficit-reduction programme set in train by the administration of Prime Minister Julia Gillard. The government had previously READ MORE >

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Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Australia Security SWOT 7

Australia Defence Industry SWOT 8

Australia Political SWOT 9

Australia Economic SWOT 9

Australia Business Environment SWOT 10

Global Political Outlook 11

No Respite From Political Risks 11

Global Flashpoints: Eurozone, Iran, Syria, Afghanistan, Korea 11
Table: Election Timetable 14

Wild Cards To Watch 19

South East Asia Security Overview 22

The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s 22

South East Asia In A Global Context 22

Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security 23

Main Islamist Militant Groups In South East Asia 25

Other Regional Threats 30

Sino-US Rivalry In South East Asia 32

The Outlook For South East Asia 33

Security Risk Analysis 35
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings 35
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 36

Political Overview 37

Domestic Politics 37

Strained State-Federal Relations Could Spell Trouble For ALP 37

Long-Term Political Outlook 39

Three Key Challenges: Population, Climate Change, China 39

Australia Security Overview 42

Internal Security Situation 42

External Security Situation 42

Armed Forces And Government Spending 46

Armed Forces 46

Defence Budget 50

International Deployments 51

Weapons Of Mass Destruction 52

Market Overview 53

Industry Trends And Developments 55

Arms Trade Overview 56

Procurement Trends And Developments 58

Industry Forecast Scenario 60

Australia Defence & Security Report Q4 2012

© Business Monitor International Ltd

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Armed Forces 60
Table: Australia’s Armed Forces, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 60
Table: Australia’s Manpower Available For Military Service, 2009-2016 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 60

Defence Expenditure 60
Table: Australia’s Defence Expenditure, 2009-2016 61
Table: Australia’s Defence Expenditure Scenarios, 2009-2016 – Changing % Of GDP (US$mn) 62

Defence Trade 62
Table: Australia’s Defence Exports, 2009-2016 (US$mn) 62
Table: Australia’s Defence Imports, 2009-2016 (US$mn) 63
Table: Australia’s Defence Trade Balance, 2009-2016 (US$mn) 64

Macroeconomic Outlook 64

Staring Recession In The Face 64
Table: Australia's Economic Activity, 2011-2016 67

Company Profiles 68

Austal 68

BAE Systems Australia 70

Boeing Australia 72

Raytheon Australia 74

Thales Australia 76

BMI Methodology 78

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 78

Defence Industry 78

Sources 79

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