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United States Defence and Security Report Q4 2012 Product Image

United States Defence and Security Report Q4 2012

  • Published: October 2012
  • 83 pages
  • Business Monitor International

The United States Defence and Security Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, defence and security associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on United States's defence and security industry.

Following the withdrawal of US forces from Iraq, which was completed on December 18 2011, the country is now contemplating the eventual withdrawal of its forces from Afghanistan; a process that has begun, and is expected to be completed by 2015.

As the US reduces its footprint in the country, it will hand over an increasing share of the security burden to the Afghan National Army and police force. Despite the end of NATO’s involvement in Afghanistan being on the horizon, relations between Washington DC and Kabul continue to be strained, following a string of high profile incidents where Afghan civilians have been murdered, copies of the Qur’an destroyed and Taliban corpses desecrated.

The eventual withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan is expected to yield significant savings to the Department of Defense budget. For Fiscal Year (FY) 2013, President Barack READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6

US Security SWOT 6

US Political SWOT 7

US Economic SWOT 8

US Business Environment SWOT 8

Global Political Outlook 9

Security Risk Analysis 12

?? Table: Developed States Security Risk Ratings (scores out of 100, with 100 the best) 12
Table: Developed States Vulnerability To Terrorism Index (scores out of 100, with 100 the best) 12

Political Overview 14

Domestic Politics 14

Policy Outlook Remains Uncertain 14

Foreign Policy I 15

Is An Israeli Attack On Iran Imminent? 15

Foreign Policy II 18

Interventionist Streak Waning, But Superpower Status Will Linger 18

Long-Term Political Outlook 23

Tough Challenges In The 2010s 23

United States Security Overview 27

Internal Security 27

Transit Vulnerability 28

Internal Terrorism 29

Cyber-Terrorism 29

Pandemics 30

Crime And Drugs 30

External Security Situation 31
Table: Regional Insurgent Groups – US-Designated Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs) 31

Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) 33

Iran 34

North Korea 35

Afghanistan 37

Iraq 39

Yemen 40

Armed Forces And Government Spending 41

Defence Decision Making 41

Grand Strategy 41

Order of Battle 43

Defence Modernisation 46

International Deployment and Joint Exercises 49
Table: Foreign Deployments 51

Weapons Of Mass Destruction 51

Market Overview 54

Arms Trade Overview 55

United States Defence & Security Report Q4 2012

© Business Monitor International Ltd

Page 4

Industry Trends and Developments 56

Industry Forecast Scenario 59

Armed Forces 59
Table: US Armed Forces Personnel, 2000-2009 (’000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 59
Table: US Manpower Available For Military Services, 2009-2016 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 59

Defence Expenditure 60
Table: US Defence Expenditure, 2009-2016 61
Table: US Defence Expenditure Scenarios – Changing % Of GDP, 2009-2016 (US$mn) 62

Defence Trade 64
Table: US Defence Exports, 2009-2016 (US$mn) 64
Table: US Defence Imports, 2009-2016 (US$mn) 64
Table: US Defence Trade Balance, 2009-2016 (US$mn) 66

Macroeconomic Forecast 67
Table: United States - Gdp By Expenditure, Real Growth %, 2008-2016 70

Company Profiles 71

Boeing 71

L-3 Communications 73

Lockheed Martin 75

Northrop Grumman 77

Raytheon 79

BMI Methodology 81

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 81

Defence Industry 81

Sources 82

Format Properties
Electronic (PDF) The report will be emailed to you. The report is sent in PDF format. This is a single user license, allowing one specific user access to the product.
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