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Venezuela Agribusiness Report Q4 2012 - Product Image

Venezuela Agribusiness Report Q4 2012

  • Published: October 2012
  • Region: Venezuela
  • 73 pages
  • Business Monitor International

The United Kingdom Agribusiness service provides proprietary medium term price forecasts for key commodities, including corn, wheat, rice, sugar, cocoa, coffee, soy and milk; in addition to newly-researched competitive intelligence on leading agribusiness producers, traders and suppliers; in-depth analysis of latest industry developments; and essential industry context on United Kingdom's agribusiness service.

BMI View:

While the likelihood of a victory by opposition candidate Henrique Capriles Radonski in Venezuela’s October 7 presidential election has increased in recent months, we still believe President Hugo Chávez is the most likely winner. Whatever the outcome of the election, making improvements to Venezuela’s deep-seated economic and social problems will be extremely challenging. Venezuela’s agricultural and agribusiness sectors remain crippled by a combination of rising input costs, spiralling inflation, poor management and infrastructure, and controlled farmgate prices. With the country increasingly reliant on imports to meet domestic demand, the outlook for the sector is poor. We hold to our forecast that the bolívar will be subject READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Venezuela Agriculture SWOT 7

Venezuela Business Environment SWOT 7

Supply & Demand Analysis 8

Venezuela Livestock Outlook 8
Table: Venezuela Poultry Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 9
Table: Venezuela Pork Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 10
Table: Venezeula Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 10
Table: Venezuela Poultry Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 13
Table: Venezuela Pork Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 13
Table: Venezuela Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 14

Venezuela Grain Outlook 14
Table: Venezuela Wheat Consumption, 2011-2016 16
Table: Venezuela Corn Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 16
Table: Venezuela Wheat Consumption, 2008-2012 20
Table: Venezuela Corn Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 20

Venezuela Coffee Outlook 21
Table: Venezuela Coffee Production & Consumption, 2011-2016 22
Table: Venezuela Coffee Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 26

Commodity Price Analysis 27

Monthly Softs Update 27

Cocoa: Momentum Waning 28

Coffee: Temporary Rally 29

Cotton: Forming A Base 30

Palm Oil: Underperforming The Complex 31

Sugar: Scope For A Moderate Rebound 33
Table: Select Commodities: Performance & Forecasts 34

Monthly Grains Update 36

Wheat: Little Relief From Southern Hemisphere 37

Corn: Looking The Weakest 38

Soybean: Prices To Stay Relatively Supported 40

Rice: Still The Underperformer 41
Table: Select Commodities: Performance & Forecasts 43

Upstream Analysis 44

Americas GM Outlook 44

Americas Machinery Outlook 48

Americas Fertiliser Outlook 51

Downstream Analysis 55

Food 55

Food Consumption 55
Table: Venezuela Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 55

Canned And Prepared Food 56
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 56
Table: Fish, 2009-2016 57

Venezuela Agribusiness Report Q4 2012

© Business Monitor International Ltd

Page 4
Table: Oils & Fats, 2009-2016 58

Confectionery 59
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 60

Drink 60

Alcoholic Drinks 60
Table: Alcoholic Drink Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 61
Table: Wine, 2009-2016 61

Soft Drinks 62
Table: Soft Drink Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 63

Hot Drinks 63
Table: Hot Drink Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 63

Mass Grocery Retail 64
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 64
Table: Sales Breakdown by Retail Format Type 65

Trade 65
Table: Food & Drink Trade Balance – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 65

Country Snapshot 66
Table: Venezuela’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) 67
Table: Venezuela’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 68
Table: Venezuela’s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 69
Table: Venezuela’s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 69

Our Forecast Modelling

70

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 70

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