Bangladesh Commercial Banking Report Q4 2012
Business Monitor International, October 2012, Pages: 59
The Bangladesh Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Bangladesh's commercial banking industry.
Table: Levels (BDTbn)
Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other April 2011 5,429.7 3,645.3 1,265.8 518.6 5,429.7 514.4 3,815.2 1,100.0 April 2012 6,383.0 4,281.7 1,470.5 630.7 6,383.0 646.3 4,520.2 1,216.5 Change, % 18 17 16 22 18 26 18 11 Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators Table: Levels (US$bn)
Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other April 2011 74.5 50.0 17.4 7.1 74.5 7.1 52.3 15.1 April 2012 77.8 52.2 17.9162 7.7 77.8 7.9 55.1 14.8 Change, % 4 4 3 8 4 12 5 -2 Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators Table: Levels At April 2012 Loan/deposit ratio Loan/asset ratio Loan/GDP ratio GDP Per Capita,
US$
Deposits per capita, US$
94.73% 67.08% 51.21% 608 364 Falling Falling Rising Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators Bangladesh Commercial Banking Report Q4 2012
© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 6 Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2012-2016 (%)
Assets Loans Deposits Annual Growth Rate 18 18 19 CAGR 17 17 60 Ranking 7 6 1 Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators,
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011 Loan/deposit ratio Loan/asset ratio Loan/GDP ratio 36 15 41 Local currency asset growth Local currency loan growth Local currency deposit growth 8 8 5 Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators Table: Projected Levels (BDTbn)
2008 2009 2010 2011e 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f Total assets 3,474.50 4,156.11 5,091.80 6,088.96 7,124.08 8,370.79 9,835.68 11,556.93 13,579.39 Client loans 2,260.86 2,689.29 3,449.25 4,085.91 4,780.51 5,617.10 6,600.10 7,755.12 9,112.26 Client deposits 2,413.78 2,958.80 3,582.16 4,320.99 5,098.77 6,067.53 7,220.36 8,592.23 10,224.76 e/f = estimate/forecast. Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)
2008 2009 2010 2011e 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f Total assets 50.42 60.01 72.25 74.41 86.88 101.68 118.99 139.26 162.98 Client loans 32.81 38.83 48.94 49.93 58.30 68.23 79.85 93.45 109.36 Client deposits 35.03 42.72 50.83 52.80 62.18 73.70 87.35 103.54 122.72 e/f = estimate/forecast. Source: BMI; Central banks; Regulators
Executive Summary 5
Table: Levels (BDTbn) 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) 5
Table: Levels At April 2012 5
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2012-2016 (%) 6
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011 6
Table: Projected Levels (BDTbn) 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn) 6
SWOT Analysis 7
Bangladesh Commercial Banking SWOT 7
Bangladesh Political SWOT 7
Bangladesh Economic SWOT 8
Bangladesh Business Environment SWOT 8
Business Environment Outlook 9
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating 9
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 9
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology 10
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 11
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 12
Regional Outlooks 19
Banking Slowdown Has Further To Run 19
Asia Banking Sector Outlook 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios 2011 22
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 23
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios 24
Table: Anticipated Developments in 2012 25
Table: Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn) 26
Table: Comparison of US$ Per Capita Deposits (2011) 27
Table: Interbank Rates and Bond Yields 28
Industry Forecast 29
Islamic Finance: Another Banner Year Ahead 29
Bangladesh Specific Banking Sector Outlook 34
Sonali Scam: Overblown Or Underestimated? 34
Economic Outlook 37
Table: Bangladesh – Economic Activity, 2011-2016 40
Competitive Landscape 41
Market Structure 41
Bangladesh Commercial Banking Report Q4 2012
© Business Monitor International Ltd
Page 4
Protagonists 41
Table: Protagonists In Bangladesh's Commercial Banking Sector 41
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 41
List Of Banks 41
Table: Bangladesh Association Of Banks Members 41
Company Profiles 43
Islami Bank Bangladesh 43
Table: Key Statistics For Islami Bank Bangladesh, 2008-2010 (BNTmn) 44
Pubali Bank 45
Table: Key Statistics For Pubali Bank, 2008-2010 (BDTmn) 46
National Bank 47
Table: Key Statistics For National Bank, 2008-2010 (BDTmn) 47
Southeast Bank 48
Table: Key Statistics For Southeast Bank, 2008-2010 (BDTmn) 48
The City Bank 49
Table: Key Statistics For The City Bank, 2008-2010 (BDTmn) 49
Eastern Bank 50
Table: Key Statistics For Eastern Bank, 2008-2010 (BDTmn) 50
United Commercial Bank 51
Table: Key Statistics For United Commercial Bank, 2010 (BDTmn) 51
AB Bank 52
Table: Key Statistics For AB Bank, 2008-2010 (BDTmn) 52
Dutch-Bangla Bank 53
Prime Bank 54
Table: Key Statistics For Prime Bank, 2008-2010 (BDTmn) 54
BMI Banking Sector Methodology 55
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58
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