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Bulgaria Telecommunications Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Bulgaria Telecommunications Report Q1 2013

  • Published: November 2012
  • Region: Bulgaria
  • 87 pages
  • Business Monitor International

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Mobiltel (M-Tel)
  • Operator Profiles
  • Vivacom
  • MORE

BMI View:

Bulgaria's mobile sector contracted in Q212 in line with our view that the market is close to saturation. Although we expect positive growth over our five-year forecast period, ending 2017, we retain the view that network operators will focus more on revenue growth through high-value services in the future. We also retain a positive outlook for fixed (telephony and internet) sector, which we expect to benefit from the growing demand for converged services and the injection of much needed capital following consolidation and the arrival of new investors.

Key data:

- BMI five-year forecasts for the mobile, fixed-line and internet sectors, as well as mobile ARPU,
are extended to 2017 in this quarter's update.

- The Mobile sector contracted by 0.7% q-o-q in Q212, the first quarterly contraction since Q310.

- Market weighted average ARPU rose 4.7% q-o-q in Q212 to partly reverse a sharp decline in the previous quarter.

Risk/Reward Ratings:

Bulgaria remains in the 11th position on our Risk/Reward Ratings (RRR) table in this quarter's update,
with no change to its aggregate score from the previous quarter or its ratings in any READ MORE >

Executive Summary 7

SWOT Analysis 8

Bulgaria Mobile SWOT 8

Bulgaria Wireline SWOT 9

Bulgaria Political SWOT 10

Bulgaria Economic SWOT 11

Bulgaria Business Environment SWOT 11

Risk/Reward Ratings 12

Central And Eastern Europe 12

Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings, Q113 15

Bulgaria 16

Industry Forecast Scenario 18

Mobile 18
Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile – Historical Data & Forecasts 18

ARPU 20
Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile ARPU, BGN – Historical Data & Forecasts 20

Fixed Line 22
Table: Telecoms Sector – Fixed Line – Historical Data & Forecasts 22

Internet 24
Table: Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts 24

Market Overview – Mobile 26

Regional Perspective 26

Bulgaria Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2011 26

Key Developments 27

Mobile Growth 28

Title: Mobile Market Growth, 2010-2012 29

Market Share 29

Usage (MOU/ARPU) 32

MVNOs 32

Networks 33

3G 33

Mobile Content 35

Mobile Operator Data 38
Table: Market Overview 38
Table: Mobiltel 38

Table Globul 39

Table Vivacom 40

Mobile Content 41

Regional Outlook 41

Fixed Line 45

Broadband 48

Cable 50

WiMAX 52

IPTV And FTTx 53

Industry Trends And Developments 55

Wireline (Fixed-Line & Broadband) Developments 56
Table: Wireline Developments (2008-2010) 56

Mobile Contract Wins 57
Table: Mobile Contract Wins 57

Value-Added Services Timeline 58
Table: VAS Timeline 58

Regulatory Environment 59
Table: Bulgaria Regulatory Bodies And Responsibilities 59

Legislation 59

Regulatory Developments 60

Competitive Landscape 64

Key Players 64
Table: Key Players: Bulgaria Telecoms Sector 64
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators, 2003-2009 64

Operator Profiles 65

Vivacom 65

Mobiltel (M-Tel) 69

Regional Overview 72

Vendor Profile 72
Table: Revenue By Business Segment (HRK '000) 72
Table: Revenue By Geography (HRKmn) 73

Key Contracts, 2011-2012 76

Demographic Forecast 77

Section 1: Population 77
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030 77
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 78

Section 2: Education And Healthcare 78
Table: Education, 2002-2005 78
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030 78

Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power 79
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006 79
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) 79
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012 80

Glossary Of Terms 81
Table: Glossary Of Terms 81

BMI Methodology 82

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 82
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts 82

Telecoms Business Environment Ratings 84

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 84

Ratings System 84

Indicators 84
Table: Ratings Indicators 85

Weighting 86
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 86

Sources 86

Operator Profiles
Vivacom
Mobiltel (M-Tel)

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