United Arab Emirates Retail Report Q4 2012

  • ID: 2299550
  • November 2012
  • Region: United Arab Emirates
  • 88 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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The UAE Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags shortterm concerns about the impact on the UAE's economic outlook of lacklustre growth in the private nonhydrocarbon sector because of weak credit conditions.

The report examines how best to maximise returns in the UAE retail market while minimising investment risk, and also explores the impact of increased tensions between Iran and the West on the Dubai consumer in particular and on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term.

The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the UAE retail sector, as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local market.

The UAE comes third (out of seven) in BMI's MEA Retail risk/reward ratings (RRRs).

Among all retail categories, over-the-counter (OTC) pharmaceuticals will be the outperformer through to 2016 in growth terms, with sales forecast to increase by nearly 46% between 2012 and 2016, from US$0.28bn to US$0.41bn as new population and healthcare spending data provide more commercial opportunities for companies READ MORE >

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Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

UAE Retail Business Environment SWOT 7

UAE Political SWOT 8

UAE Economic SWOT 9

Market Overview 10

Current Trends 17

Key Players 21

Industry Forecast Scenario 26

Consumer Outlook 26

Retail Growth Outlook 28
Table: Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016 28
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Key Segment, 2012f 32

Macroeconomic Outlook 33
Table: Economic Activity 35

Regional Retail Outlook 36
Table: Middle East And Africa Retail Trends, 2009-2016 36
Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (US$bn) 36
Table: Share Of Regional Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (%) 37

Current Trends 37

Risk/Reward Ratings 47

Middle East And Africa Risk/Reward Ratings 47
Table: Regional Retail Risk/Reward Ratings 48

The UAE's Retail Rating 48

Limits To Potential Returns 48

Risks To Realisation Of Returns 49

Mass Grocery Retail 50

UAE Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT 50

Market Overview 51

Industry Forecast Scenario 52
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format 53
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 53

Industry Developments 54

Consumer Electronics 57

UAE Consumer Electronics Market SWOT 57

Market Overview 58

Computers 58
Table: Computers Demand, 2009-2016 58

AV Devices 63
Table: AV: Demand, 2009-2016 63

Mobile Handsets 67
Table: Mobile Handsets: Demand, 2009-2016 67

Industry Forecast Scenario 72

Consumer Electronics Market 72
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview2009-2016 72

Automotives 75

UAE Autos Industry SWOT 75

Industry Forecast Scenario 75
Table: UAE Automotive Sales 75
Table: UAE Automotive Trade 76
Table: Other Indicators 76

Passenger Cars 79

Demographic Outlook 82
Table: United Arab Emirates' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 83
Table: United Arab Emirates' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 84
Table: United Arab Emirates' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 85
Table: United Arab Emirates' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 85

BMI Methodology 86

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 86

Sources 87

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown


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