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Peru Oil and Gas Report Q4 2012 - Product Image

Peru Oil and Gas Report Q4 2012

  • Published: November 2012
  • Region: Peru
  • 76 pages
  • Business Monitor International

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Company Monitor
  • Hunt Oil – Summary
  • Others – Summary
  • Petrobras – Summary
  • Repsol Peru
  • Savia Perú – Summary
  • MORE

BMI View:

The outlook for Peru's energy sector is improving rapidly. Oil and natural gas production are forecast to rise at breakneck speed through to 2016, and sustain elevated production levels until the end of our 10-year forecast period. There is considerable upside potential to our forecasts as well, on the back of new production and discoveries, as well as an increasingly attractive business environment. The country is not risk-free, however, with relations with indigenous communities sitting firmly at the top of the list.

The main trends and developments we highlight in the Peruvian oil and gas sector are:

- 2013 will be Peru's last as an oil importer, with our forecasts suggesting imports of just 16,000 barrels per day (b/d). In 2014, the country will have a (theoretical) export capacity of approximately 37,400b/d, representing the beginning of a steep rise culminating in a peak of 128,780b/d in 2016. However, in order to sustain export levels above 100,000b/d through and beyond our forecast period ending in 2021, additional successful production will be required.

The fact that it is largely underexplored presents solid upside risks to its reserves READ MORE >

BMI Industry View 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Peru Oil & Gas SWOT 7

Global Energy Market Outlook 8

Oil: Getting Closer To Emerging Markets Inflection Point 8
Table: Oil Consumption Forecasts, 2010-2016 (’000b/d) 10
Table: Oil Production Forecasts, 2010-2016 (’000b/d) 12

Regional Energy Market Outlook 16

Peru Energy Market Overview 19
Table: Peru – Upstream Projects Database 21

Industry Forecast Scenario 22

Oil & Gas Reserves 22
Table: Peru Oil & Gas – Historical Data And Forecasts, 2009-2016 23
Table: Peru Oil & Gas – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 24

Oil Supply And Demand 26

Gas Supply And Demand 27

LNG 27

Refining And Oil Products Trade 28

Revenues/Import Costs 28

Oil & Gas Infrastructure 29

Oil Refineries 29
Table: Refineries In Peru 29

Oil Pipelines 30

LNG Terminals 30

Gas Pipelines 31

Regional and Country Risk/Reward Ratings 32
Table: Latin American Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings 32
Table: Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings 34
Table: Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings 35

Peru Upstream Rating – Rewards 36

Peru Upstream Rating – Risks 37

Peru Downstream Rating – Overview 38

Competitive Landscape 39

Executive Summary 39
Table: Key Players In Peru Oil & Gas Sector 40

Overview/State Role 41

Licensing And Regulation 41

Government Policy 44

Licensing Rounds 45
Table: Key Upstream Players 47
Table: Key Downstream Players 47

Company Monitor 48

Petróleos Del Perú (Petroperú) 48

Repsol Peru 51

Sapet Peru/CNPC – Summary 53

Maple Gas – Summary 53

Pluspetrol – Summary 53

Hunt Oil – Summary 53

Perenco – Summary 54

SK Corporation – Summary 54

Petrobras – Summary 55

ConocoPhillips – Summary 55

Savia Perú – Summary 55

Talisman Energy – Summary 56

BPZ Energy/Shell – Summary 56

Others – Summary 57

Latin America – Regional Appendix 60
Table: Oil Consumption – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (’000b/d) 60
Table: Oil Consumption – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (’000b/d) 61
Table: Oil Production – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (’000b/d) 61
Table: Oil Production – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (’000b/d) 62
Table: Refining Capacity – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (’000b/d) 62
Table: Refining Capacity – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (’000b/d) 63
Table: Gas Consumption – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 63
Table: Gas Consumption – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 64
Table: Gas Production – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 64
Table: Gas Production – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 65
Table: LNG Exports – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 65
Table: LNG Exports – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 66

Methodology And Risks To Forecasts 67

Glossary Of Terms 68
Table: Glossary Of Terms 68

Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 70

Ratings Overview 70
Table: BMI’s Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings – Structure 71

Indicators 72
Table: BMI’s Oil & Gas Upstream Ratings – Methodology 72
Table: BMI’s Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings – Methodology 73

BMI Methodology 74

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 74

Energy Industry 74

Cross checks 75

Sources 75

Company Monitor
Petróleos Del Perú (Petroperú)
Repsol Peru
Sapet Peru/CNPC – Summary
Maple Gas – Summary
Pluspetrol – Summary
Hunt Oil – Summary
Perenco – Summary
SK Corporation – Summary
Petrobras – Summary
ConocoPhillips – Summary
Savia Perú – Summary
Talisman Energy – Summary
BPZ Energy/Shell – Summary
Others – Summary

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