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Egypt Retail Report Q4 2012 - Product Image

Egypt Retail Report Q4 2012

  • ID: 2299570
  • November 2012
  • Region: Egypt
  • 75 pages
  • Business Monitor International

This Egypt Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags shortterm concerns about the economic impact of the country’s budget deficit hitting record lows and monetary policy constrained by the need to avoid further capital outflows.

We examine how best to maximise returns in the Egyptian retail market while minimising investment risk and explore the effects of the deteriorating global economy on the Egyptian consumer and on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term.

The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the Egyptian retail sector as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local market.

Egyptian per-capita consumer spending is forecast to more than double by 2016, compared with a regional growth average of only 2%. The country comes last in BMI’s Middle East and Africa Retail risk/reward ratings, although it outperforms slightly for Reward.

Among all retail categories, autos will be the outperformer through to 2016 in growth terms, with unit sales forecast to increase by 126% between READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Egypt Retail Business Environment SWOT 7

Egypt Political SWOT 8

Egypt Economic SWOT 9

Market Overview 10

Current Trends 12

Key Players 14

Industry Forecast Scenario 17

Consumer Outlook 17

Retail Growth Outlook 20
Table: Egypt’s Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016 21
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Key Segment, 2012f 23

Macroeconomic Outlook 23
Table: Egypt – Economic Activity 25

Regional Retail Outlook 26
Table: Middle East And Africa Retail Trends, 2009-2016 26
Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (US$bn) 26
Table: Share Of Regional Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (%) 27

Current Trends 27

Risk/Reward Ratings 37

Middle East And Africa Risk/Reward Ratings 37
Table: Regional Retail Risk/Reward Ratings 38

Egypt’s Retail Rating 38

Limits To Potential Returns 38

Risks To Realisation of Returns 39

Mass Grocery Retail 40

Egypt Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT 40

Market Overview 41

Leading Retailers 41

Industry Forecast Scenario 42
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format, % 43
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 43

Industry Developments 44

Consumer Electronics 47

Egypt Consumer Electronics Market SWOT 47

Market Overview 48

Computers 48
Table: PC Sales, 2009-2016 48

AV 51
Table: AV Sales, 2009-2016 51

Mobile Handsets 53
Table: Mobile Communications, 2009-2016 53

Industry Forecast Scenario 57

Consumer Electronics Market 57
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2009-2016 57

Industry Developments 59

Automotives 61

Egypt Auto Industry SWOT 61

Industry Forecast Scenario 62

Sales 64
Table: Egypt Autos Sales 64

Trade 65
Table: Egypt Autos Trade 65

Company Developments 66

Passenger Cars 66
Table: Top 10 Best Selling Models in Egypt, January-October 2011 67

Demographic Outlook 69
Table: Egypt's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 70
Table: Egypt's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 71
Table: Egypt's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 72
Table: Egypt's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 72

BMI Methodology 73

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 73

Sources 74

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