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Russia Agribusiness Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Russia Agribusiness Report Q1 2013

  • Published: November 2012
  • Region: Russia
  • 85 pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI View:

The recently adopted agriculture development programme demonstrates the Russian government’s increased commitment to support the industry in spite of the recent accession to the WTO.

New measures ensure that most agricultural support complies with the WTO rules, such as the transformation of price support into income support. Russia’s grain output has been severely affected by droughts during plantings, and the livestock and dairy industries are experiencing tighter margins as a result. That said, we continue to see strong growth potential for production in both sectors as the livestock industry benefits from protective measures and the dairy industry attracts foreign investment.

Key Developments:

- Wheat production growth to 2016/17: 18.1% to 65.1mn tonnes. Yield gains and better access to export markets in Asia are expected to result in increased wheat production.

- Milk consumption growth to 2016/17: 0.3% to 12.0mn tonnes. This slight increase in consumption will most likely be aided by increased interest in coffee, as milk is a complementary good. Consumption of premium coffee as a niche-but-growing segment is demonstrated READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Russia Agricultural SWOT 7

Russia Business Environment SWOT 8

Supply & Demand Analysis 9

Russia Dairy Outlook 9
Table: Russia Milk Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 10
Table: Russia Butter Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 10
Table: Russia Cheese Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 10
Table: Russia Milk Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 14
Table: Russia Butter Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 15
Table: Russia Cheese Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 15

Russia Rice Outlook 15
Table: Russia Rice Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 16
Table: Russia Rice Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 18

Russia Grain Outlook 19
Table: Russia Wheat Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 20
Table: Russia Corn Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 20
Table: Russia Barley Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 20
Table: Russia Wheat Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 23
Table: Russia Corn Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 23
Table: Russia Barley Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 23

Russia Livestock Outlook 24
Table: Russia Poultry Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 25
Table: Russia Pork Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 25
Table: Russia Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 25
Table: Russia Poultry Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 28
Table: Russia Pork Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 28
Table: Russia Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 29

Commodity Price Analysis 30

Monthly Softs Update 30

Cocoa: Sufficient Supply 30

Coffee: Temporary Rally 32

Cotton: Against Resistance 34

Palm Oil: Outperforming The Oilseeds Complex 35

Sugar: Surging Supply 37
Table: Select Commodities: Performance & Forecasts 39

Monthly Grains Update 40

Wheat: Resilience On Borrowed Time 41

Corn: Looking The Weakest 43

Soybean: Little Relief Ahead 44

Rice: A Strong Performer 46
Table: Select Commodities – Performance & BMI Forecasts 47

Upstream Analysis 48

Europe Fertiliser Outlook 48

Europe GM Outlook 53

Europe Machinery Outlook 57

Downstream Analysis 61

Food 61

Food Consumption 61
Table: Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 62

Fish 62
Table: Fish, 2009-2016 62

Snack Foods 65
Table: Snack Foods, 2009-2016 65

Drink 65

Alcoholic Drinks 65
Table: Beer Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 66
Table: Spirits Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 67
Table: Wine Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 68

Soft Drinks 68
Table: Fruit Juice Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 69
Table: Carbonates Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 70
Table: Bottled Water Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 72

Hot Drinks 72
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 73

Mass Grocery Retail 74
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2009-2016 74
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type 76

Trade 76
Table: Trade Indicators, 2009-2016 77

Country Snapshot 78
Table: Russia’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) 79
Table: Russia’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 80
Table: Russia’s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 81
Table: Russia’s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 81

Our Forecast Modelling

82

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 82

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