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France Agribusiness Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

France Agribusiness Report Q1 2013

  • Published: November 2012
  • Region: France
  • 71 pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI View:

We highlight that French wheat has become more competitive on export markets, mainly owing to a decrease in competitiveness for the Black Sea region. The French livestock sector is encountering more difficulties because of a squeeze in margins. For poultry producer Doux, for example,
we expect the asset liquidation and restructuring to increase efficiency in the sector over the long term. In the dairy segment, producers are being hit by weak economic growth in Europe, but milk prices could help to support production growth in the coming years.

Key Forecasts:

- Barley production growth to 2016/17: 6.4% to 9.4mn tonnes. The positive figure is owing to base effects; with barley prices remaining low relative to wheat and intervention buying ending,
production is likely to fall in year-on-year terms for most of our 2012-2017 forecast period.

- Milk consumption growth to 2016/17: -3.6% to 5.5mn tonnes. Elevated farmgate milk prices very likely have discouraged consumers from buying milk, especially given the recent period of slow economic growth. We expect this decline in consumption to continue, with more milk being used for other products and READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

France Agriculture SWOT 7

France Business Environment SWOT 8

Supply & Demand Analysis 9

France Dairy Outlook 9
Table: France Milk Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 10
Table: France Butter Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 10
Table: France Cheese Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 10
Table: France Milk Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 12
Table: France Butter Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 12
Table: France Cheese Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 12

France Livestock Outlook 13
Table: France Poultry Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 14
Table: France Pork Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 14
Table: France Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 14
Table: France Poultry Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 16
Table: France Pork Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 16
Table: France Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 17

France Grains Outlook 17
Table: France Wheat Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 18
Table: France Corn Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 18
Table: France Barley Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 18
Table: France Wheat Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 21
Table: France Corn Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 22
Table: France Barley Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 22

Commodity Price Analysis 23

Monthly Softs Update 23

Cocoa: Sufficient Supply 23

Coffee: Temporary Rally 25

Cotton: Against Resistance 27

Palm Oil: Outperforming The Oilseeds Complex 28

Sugar: Surging Supply 30
Table: Select Commodities: Performance & Forecasts 32

Monthly Grains Update 33

Wheat: Resilience On Borrowed Time 34

Corn: Looking The Weakest 36

Soybean: Little Relief Ahead 37

Rice: A Strong Performer 39
Table: Select Commodities – Performance & BMI Forecasts 40

Upstream Analysis 41

Europe Fertiliser Outlook 41

Europe GM Outlook 46

Europe Machinery Outlook 50

Downstream Analysis 54

Food 54

Food Consumption 54
Table: Food Consumption Indicators, 2009-2016 54

Prepared Food/Canned Food 54
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 55

Confectionery 55
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 56

Drink 57

Hot Drinks 57
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 57

Soft Drinks 57
Table: Soft Drinks Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 58

Alcoholic Drinks 59
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 60

Mass Grocery Retail 60
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 61
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format 62

Trade 62
Table: Trade Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 63

Country Snapshot 64
Table: France’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) 65
Table: France’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 66
Table: France’s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 67
Table: France’s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 67

Our Forecast Modelling

68

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 68

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