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Ghana Agribusiness Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Ghana Agribusiness Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2313619
  • November 2012
  • Region: Ghana
  • 66 pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI View:

Ghana’s cocoa sector will remain a vital part of the country’s agricultural industry in the coming years. After registering a significant year-on-year decline in 2011/12 production, we are forecasting a mild improvement in 2012/13 on the basis of better weather conditions. Elsewhere, we see the country’s overall food security remaining fairly stable despite recent increases in global prices and,
to some extent, local prices. The 2012/13 corn harvest is under way, and we expect production to increase only slightly year-on-year, to 1.65mn tonnes. Over the long term, production could see considerable growth should genetically modified seeds be adopted. This is now possible after changes to bio-safety laws in 2011. We believe that poultry production and consumption will see the most growth among the livestock complex owing to price competitiveness and local preferences.

Key forecasts:

- Cocoa production growth to 2016/17: 15.1% to reach 990,000 tonnes. Yield gains are likely to continue. Rising GDP will allow easier credit access to cocoa farmers wanting to expand production.

- Corn production growth to 2016/17: 40.0% to 2.24mn READ MORE >

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Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Ghana Agriculture SWOT 7

Ghana Business Environment SWOT 8

Supply & Demand Analysis 9

Ghana Livestock Outlook 9
Table: Ghana Poultry Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 10
Table: Ghana Pork Production, 2012-2017 10
Table: Ghana Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 10
Table: Ghana Poultry Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 12
Table: Ghana Pork Production, 2008-2012 12
Table: Ghana Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 12

Ghana Grains Outlook 13
Table: Ghana Corn Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 13
Table: Ghana Corn Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 14

Ghana Cocoa Outlook 15
Table: Ghana Cocoa Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 16
Table: Ghana Cocoa Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 17

Commodity Price Analysis 19

Monthly Softs Update 19

Cocoa: Sufficient Supply 19

Coffee: Temporary Rally 21

Cotton: Against Resistance 23

Palm Oil: Outperforming The Oilseeds Complex 24

Sugar: Surging Supply 26
Table: Select Commodities: Performance & Forecasts 28

Monthly Grains Update 29

Wheat: Resilience On Borrowed Time 30

Corn: Looking The Weakest 32

Soybean: Little Relief Ahead 33

Rice: A Strong Performer 35
Table: Select Commodities – Performance & BMI Forecasts 36

Upstream Analysis 37

Africa GM Outlook 37
Table: Select Countries – Global Corn Yield Rank For 2012/13 Season 38

Africa Machinery Outlook 43

Africa Fertiliser Outlook 46

Downstream Analysis 50

Food 50

Consumer Outlook 50

Food Consumption 51
Table: Food Consumption – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 51
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2009-2016 52

Drink 54

Alcoholic Drinks 54
Table: Beer Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 55

Soft Drinks 55
Table: Carbonated Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 56

Bottled Water 56
Table: Bottled Water Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 56

Mass Grocery Retail 57
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 57

Trade 58
Table: Trade Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 58

Country Snapshot 59
Table: Ghana’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) 60
Table: Ghana’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 61
Table: Ghana’s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 62
Table: Ghana’s Rural and Urban Population, 1990-2020 62

Our Forecast Modelling

63

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 63

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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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