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Hong Kong Retail Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Hong Kong Retail Report Q1 2013

  • Published: November 2012
  • Region: Hong Kong
  • 76 pages
  • Business Monitor International

The Hong Kong Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags short-term concerns about the impact on Hong Kong's economic outlook of falling property prices.

The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Hong Kong retail market while minimising investment risk, and also explores the impact of the slowdown in the eurozone and US on the Hong Kong consumer and on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term.

The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the Hong Kong retail sector, as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local market.

Hong Kong comes fourth out of seven in BMI's Asia Retail risk/reward ratings, although it outperforms significantly for risk.

Among all retail categories, over-the-counter (OTC) pharmaceuticals will be the outperformer through to 2016 in growth terms, with sales forecast to increase by 28% between 2013 and 2017, from US$0.31bn to US$0.39bn as locally involved companies take advantage of growth in the mainland Chinese drug market.

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Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6

Hong Kong Retail Business Environment SWOT 6

Hong Kong Political SWOT 7

Hong Kong Economic SWOT 7

Market Overview 8

Key Players 9

Current Trends 11

Industry Forecast Scenario 14

Consumer Outlook 14
Table: Retail Sales Indicators, 2010-2017 17
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Key Segment, 2013f 19

Macroeconomic Outlook 20
Table: Economic Activity 22

Regional Retail Outlook 23

Asia Pacific Retail Outlook 23
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Sales, 2010-2017 (US$bn) 23
Table: Share Of Regional Retail Sales, 2010-2017 (%) 24
Table: Asia Pacific Food Consumption, 2010-2017 (US$bn) 26
Table: Asia Pacific Macroeconomic Outlook, 2010-2017 32

Risk/Reward Ratings 33

Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Ratings 33
Table: Regional Retail Business Environment Ratings 33

Hong Kong's Retail Risk/Reward Rating 34

Limits To Potential Returns 34

Risks To Realisation Of Returns 35

Consumer Electronics 36

Hong Kong Consumer Electronics Market SWOT 36

Hong Kong Electronics Industry SWOT 37

Market Overview 37

Computers 38
Table: Computers, Sales, 2009-2016 38

Segments 39

Tablets 40

Innovation 41

AV 42
Table: AV Sales, 2009-2016 43

Mobile Handsets 44
Table: Handsets, Sales, 2009-2016 44

Industry Forecast Scenario 46
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2009-2016 47

Industry Developments 48

Government Authority 50

Mainland China 50

Automotives 51

Hong Kong Auto Industry SWOT 51

Market Overview 51

Industry Forecast Scenario 52

Sales 52
Table: Automotive Sales 52
Table: Auto Sector – Economic Contribution, 2011-2016 56

Industry Developments 56

OTC Pharmaceuticals 59

Hong Kong Pharmaceuticals And Healthcare Industry SWOT 59

Market Overview 60

Industry Forecast Scenario 61
Table: OTC Medicine Sales Indicators 2008-2016 62

Competitive Landscape 62

Tourism 64

Hong Kong Tourism SWOT 64

Industry Forecast Scenario 65

Arrivals 65
Table: Arrivals, 2009-2016 65

Expenditure 66
Table: Tourist Expenditure And Economic Impact, 2009-2016 67

Inbound Tourism 67
Table: Inbound Tourism, 2009-2016 69

Demographic Data 70
Table: Hong Kong's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 71
Table: Hong Kong's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 72
Table: Hong Kong's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 73
Table: Hong Kong's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 73

BMI Methodology 74

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 74

Sources 75

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