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Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q1 2013

  • Published: November 2012
  • Region: Bangladesh
  • 59 pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI View:

According to the agriculture ministry, Bangladesh loses about 80,000 hectares of arable land owing to the impact of climate change, such as through droughts, salinity and floods. Indeed, we view Bangladesh’s extreme weather as a major risk to our outlook for the country’s agriculture sector. In fact,
as crop cultivation is gradually pushed southward due to climate changes, a key factor for survival will be adapting crop varieties to different cultivation environments.

Key Forecasts:

- Wheat production growth to 2016/17: 40.9% to 1.6mn tonnes. The main driver is an improvement in yields. We note that in Bangladesh, wheat cultivation remains a preferred option for non-irrigated land given the low farm input use (fertiliser, insecticides and labour).

- Sugar production growth to 2016/17: -45.6% to 68,000 tonnes by 2016/17. With farmers increasingly planting more profitable cash crops such as cotton, we do not foresee the trend of declining sugar production to reverse any time soon.

- Poultry production growth to 2016/17: 17.2% to 232,000 tonnes. Better economic conditions and higher disposable incomes will help to drive demand READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Bangladesh Agriculture SWOT 7

Bangladesh Business Environment SWOT 8

Supply & Demand Analysis 9

Bangladesh Grains Outlook 9
Table: Bangladesh Wheat Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 10
Table: Bangladesh Corn Production, 2012-2017 10
Table: Bangladesh Wheat Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 11
Table: Bangladesh Corn Production, 2008-2012 11

Bangladesh Sugar Outlook 12
Table: Bangladesh Sugar Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 12
Table: Bangladesh Sugar Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 13

Bangladesh Rice Outlook 13
Table: Bangladesh Rice Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 14
Table: Bangladesh Rice Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 16

Bangladesh Livestock Outlook 18
Table: Bangladesh Poultry Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 19
Table: Bangladesh Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 19
Table: Bangladesh Poultry Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 20
Table: Bangladesh Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 20

Commodity Price Analysis 22

Monthly Softs Update 22

Cocoa: Sufficient Supply 22

Coffee: Temporary Rally 24

Cotton: Against Resistance 26

Palm Oil: Outperforming The Oilseeds Complex 27

Sugar: Surging Supply 29
Table: Select Commodities: Performance & Forecasts 31

Monthly Grains Update 32

Wheat: Resilience On Borrowed Time 33

Corn: Looking The Weakest 35

Soybean: Little Relief Ahead 36

Rice: A Strong Performer 38
Table: Select Commodities – Performance & BMI Forecasts 39

Upstream Analysis 40

Asia Machinery Outlook 40

Asia Fertiliser Outlook 44

Asia GM Outlook 48
Table: Select Countries Growing GM Crops 51

Country Snapshot 52
Table: Bangladesh’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) 53
Table: Bangladesh’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 54
Table: Bangladesh’s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 55
Table: Bangladesh’s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 55

Our Forecast Modelling

56

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 56

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