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India Retail Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

India Retail Report Q1 2013

  • Published: January 2013
  • Region: India
  • 90 pages
  • Business Monitor International

The Indian Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags shortterm concerns about the impact on India's economic outlook of soaring twin deficits in the fiscal and current accounts.

The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Indian retail market while minimising investment risk, and also explores the impact of the risk of a prolonged deflationary slump in the eurozone on the Indian consumer and on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term.

The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the Indian retail sector, as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local market.

India comes second (out of seven) in BMI's Asia Retail risk/reward ratings, although it underperforms for risk.

Among all retail categories, Mass Grocery Retail (MGR) will be the outperformer through to 2017 in growth terms, with sales forecast to increase by 107.9% between 2013 and 2017, from US$34.79bn to US$72.33bn as India's emerging middle class continues to drive demand for new goods and services, and rural retailing presents READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6

India Retail Business Environment SWOT 6

India Political SWOT 7

India Economic SWOT 8

Market Overview 9

Current Trends 10

Key Players 14

Industry Forecast Scenario 19

Consumer Outlook 19

Retail Growth Outlook 21
Table: India Retail Sales Indicators, 2010-2017 22
Table: Retail Sector Breakdown By Key Segment, 2013f 23

Macroeconomic Outlook 24

Regional Retail Outlook 28

Asia Pacific Retail Outlook 28
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Sales, 2010-2017 (US$bn) 28
Table: Share Of Regional Retail Sales, 2010-2017 (%) 29
Table: Asia Pacific Food Consumption, 2010-2017 (US$bn) 31
Table: Asia Pacific Macroeconomic Outlook, 2010-2017 37

Risk/Reward Ratings 38

Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Ratings 38
Table: Regional Retail Business Environment Ratings 38

India's Retail Risk/Reward Ratings 39

Limits To Potential Returns 39

Risks To Realisation Of Returns 40

Mass Grocery Retail 41

India Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT 41

Market Overview 42

Leading MGR Players 43
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets, 2005-2011 45
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market – Sales By Format (US$mn), 2005-2011 45
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market – Sales By Format (INRmn), 2005-2011 46
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format (%) – Historical Data & Forecasts 46

Industry Forecast Scenario 46
Table: MGR Sales By Format – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 48
Table: Average Outlet Sales By Format – 2011 48

Industry Developments 49

Consumer Electronics 53

India Consumer Electronics Market SWOT 53

India Electronics Industry SWOT 54

Market Overview 55

Computers 55
Table: Computer Sales, 2009-2016 55

Drivers 56

Netbooks 58

Tablets 59

Low-Cost PCs 60
Table: Total Desktop Sales 60

AV 61
Table: AV Sales, 2009-2016 61

Mobile Handsets 65
Table: Mobile Communications: Demand, 2009-2016 65

Industry Forecast Scenario 70
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2009-2016 71

Industry Developments 71

Government Authority 73

Automotives 75

India Autos Industry SWOT 75

Industry Forecast 76

Production And Sales 76
Table: Autos Sales And Production 76

Trade 77
Table: Autos Trade 77

Industry Developments 77

Passenger Cars 79

Production And Sales 79
Table: Autos - Passenger Cars 79

Company Developments 81

Demographic Outlook 83
Table: India's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 84
Table: India's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 85
Table: India's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 86
Table: India's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 86

BMI Methodology 87

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 87

Sources 88

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