• +353-1-415-1241(GMT OFFICE HOURS)
  • 1-800-526-8630(US/CAN TOLL FREE)
  • 1-917-300-0470(EST OFFICE HOURS)
Kenya Agribusiness Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Kenya Agribusiness Report Q1 2013

  • Published: November 2012
  • Region: Kenya
  • 70 pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI View:

We see little change to our Kenyan coffee and sugar forecasts over the forecast period. At the time of writing, we expect the country’s food security situation to remain relatively stable over end-
October and November 2012. Indeed, the number of people on food assistance has fallen dramatically between June and September. Over the long term, we favour the corn over the wheat sector in terms of production. Wheat production should remain challenging given the country’s climate. We are more optimistic regarding corn production, as domestic producers enjoy some degree of trade protection depending on the domestic production balance. Greater use of GM seeds in the future is a key upside risk to corn production over the long term.

Key Views:

- Corn production growth to 2016/17: 19.0% to 4.1mn tonnes. This will be a function of improved farming methods, domestic demand and the eventual introduction of genetically modified seeds.

- Wheat consumption growth to 2017: 7% to 1.3mn tonnes. Kenyans already have a high rate of wheat consumption by regional standards. Slight improvements in availability and population growth will drive consumption.

- READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Kenya Agriculture SWOT 7

Kenya Business Environment SWOT 8

Supply & Demand Analysis 9

Kenya Coffee Outlook 9
Table: Kenya Coffee Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 10
Table: Kenya Coffee Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 12

Kenya Grains Outlook 12
Table: Kenya Wheat Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 13
Table: Kenya Corn Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 14
Table: Kenya Barley Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 14
Table: Kenya Wheat Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 15
Table: Kenya Corn Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 16
Table: Kenya Barley Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 16

Kenya Sugar Outlook 16
Table: Kenya Sugar Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 17
Table: Kenya Sugar Production & Consumption, 2008-2012 21

Commodity Price Analysis 23

Monthly Softs Update 23

Cocoa: Sufficient Supply 23

Coffee: Temporary Rally 25

Cotton: Against Resistance 27

Palm Oil: Outperforming The Oilseeds Complex 28

Sugar: Surging Supply 30
Table: Select Commodities: Performance & Forecasts 32

Monthly Grains Update 33

Wheat: Resilience On Borrowed Time 34

Corn: Looking The Weakest 36

Soybean: Little Relief Ahead 37

Rice: A Strong Performer 39
Table: Select Commodities – Performance & BMI Forecasts 40

Upstream Analysis 41

Africa GM Outlook 41
Table: Select Countries – Global Corn Yield Rank For 2012/13 Season 42

Africa Machinery Outlook 47

Africa Fertiliser Outlook 50

Downstream Analysis 54

Food 54
Table: Kenya – Food Consumption, 2009-2016 55
Table: Kenya – Meat, 2009-2016 55
Table: Kenya – Fish, 2009-2016 56
Table: Kenya – Snack Foods, 2009-2016 58

Drink 59
Table: Kenya – Beer, 2009-2016 59
Table: Kenya – Carbonated Drinks, 2009-2016 60

Mass Grocery Retail 61
Table: Kenya – Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2009-2016 62

Country Snapshot 63
Table: Kenya’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) 64
Table: Kenya’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 65
Table: Kenya’s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 66
Table: Kenya’s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 66

Our Forecast Modelling

67

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 67

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

RELATED PRODUCTS

Our Clients

Our clients' logos