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Mexico Food and Drink Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Mexico Food and Drink Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2320972
  • November 2012
  • Region: Mexico
  • 122 pages
  • Business Monitor International

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Arca Continental
  • Drink
  • Food
  • Grupo Bimbo
  • Grupo Modelo
  • Mass Grocery Retail
  • MORE

We believe that Mexico is set to begin transitioning toward a more services-oriented economy, with a stronger private consumer and favourable demographics boosting the country’s economic outlook.

Although we are optimistic about Mexico’s growth story over the medium-term, we foresee a slowdown in the coming quarters as external demand moderates, feeding through to weaker consumer confidence and weighing on private consumption. We maintain our view for a slowdown in the coming quarters,
forecasting 3.4% real GDP growth in 2013.

Headline Industry Data (local currency):

- 2013 per capita food consumption = +3.4%; forecast to 2017 = +13.9%
- 2013 alcoholic drink sales = +7.9%; forecast to 2017 = +40.9%
- 2013 soft drink sales = +5.2%; forecast to 2017 = +22.6%
- 2013 mass grocery retail sales = +7.0%; forecast to 2017 = +30.1%

Key Company Trends:

Diageo Looking to Purchase Jose Cuervo: Paul Walsh, CEO of UK-based alcoholic drinks firm Diageo,
recently said that the company is not ready to renew a global distribution deal for Mexican firm Tequila Cuervo La Rojeña’s tequila brand José Cuervo following the expiry READ MORE >

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Arca Continental
  • Drink
  • Food
  • Grupo Bimbo
  • Grupo Modelo
  • Mass Grocery Retail
  • MORE

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT Analysis 8

Mexico Food Industry SWOT 8

Mexico Drink Industry SWOT 9

Mexico Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT 10

Business Environment 11

BMI’s Core Global Industry Views 11
Table: Core Views 19

Latin America Risk/Reward Ratings 20
Table: Latin America Q113 Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings (scores out of 10) 21
Table: Latin America Q113 Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings 24

Mexico’s Risk/Reward Ratings 25

Macroeconomic Outlook 26
Table: GDP Contribution To Growth 29

Industry Forecast 30

Consumer Outlook 30

Food 32

Total Food Consumption 32
Table: Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 33

Confectionery 33
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 34

Prepared/Canned Food 35
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 36
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 36
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 38
Table: Oils & Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 39
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 42

Dairy 43
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 43

Baked Products 47
Table: Baked Products & Jam Volume Sales, Production & Trade – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 47

Drinks 50

Hot Drinks 50
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 50
Table: Hot Drinks Volume Sales, Production & Trade – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 51

Alcoholic Drinks 51
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 52

Soft Drinks 52
Table: Soft Drinks Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 53
Table: Soft Drinks Volume Sales, Production & Trade – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 53

Mass Grocery Retail 55
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 56

Trade 57
Table: Food & Drink Trade Balance – Historical Data & Forecasts 57

Food 58

Key Industry Trends And Developments 58

Hershey Likely To Focus On Core Brands In Emerging Markets 58

Bimbo Margins Hit By Capital Spending, But Investors Still Positive 59

Mexican Confectionery Sector Attracts Interest 60

Voluntary Labelling As Government Steps Up Attack On Unhealthy Products 61

Kraft Opens Innovation Centre In Mexico 62

PepsiCo Focuses On Healthier Snacks 62

Bimbo Extends Geographical Presence 63

MegaMex Acquisition Highlights The US’s Hispanic Opportunities 64

Market Overview 65

Confectionery 65

Organics 67

Prepared/Canned Food 67

Dairy 68

Meat 69

Seafood 69

Drink 70

Key Industry Trends And Developments 70

Diageo Looking To Acquire Jose Cuervo Tequila Brand 70

Modelo Deal Focused On Mexican Consumer Story 70

Coca-Cola Femsa Shares Hitting New Highs 71

US Producers Keen To Capitalise On Growing Mexican Wine Market 73

Tequila Sector Looks to Exports 73

Market Overview 74

Hot Drinks 74

Alcoholic Drinks 74

Soft Drinks And Bottled Water 75

Mass Grocery Retail 78

Key Industry Trends And Developments 78

Mexican Food Retail Moving Upmarket 78

Walmart de México Underperforming 78

Comerci To Reduce Debt 79

Oxxo And Walmart de México Battle For Financial Services Market 80

Chedraui Announces IPO As Expansion Opportunities Take Centre Stage 80

Femsa To Invest In Retail Following Beer Sale 81

Market Overview 82
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Numbers Of Outlets 83
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market – Sales Value By Format (US$bn) 83
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market – Sales Value By Format (MXNbn) 84

Competitive Landscape 85

Key Players 85
Table: Key Players In Mexico’s Food Sector 85
Table: Key Players In Mexico’s Drink Sector 86
Table: Key Players in Mexico’s Mass Grocery Retail Sector 87

Company Profiles 89

Food 89

Industrias Bachoco 89

Grupo Herdez 91

Gruma 93

Grupo Bimbo 95

Drink 98

Grupo Modelo 98

Arca Continental 101

Femsa 104

Mass Grocery Retail 106

Walmart de México 106

Controladora Comercial Mexicana (Comerci) 108

Soriana 110

Demographic Outlook 112
Table: Mexico’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (‘000) 113
Table: Mexico’s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 114
Table: Mexico’s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 115
Table: Mexico’s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 115

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 116
Table: Rewards 116
Table: Risks 117

Weighting 117
Table: Weighting 117

BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary 118

Food & Drink 118

Mass Grocery Retail 118

BMI Food & Drink Methodology 120

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 120

Sourcing 121

Company Profiles
Food
Industrias Bachoco
Grupo Herdez
Gruma
Grupo Bimbo
Drink
Grupo Modelo
Arca Continental
Femsa
Mass Grocery Retail
Walmart de México
Controladora Comercial Mexicana (Comerci)
Soriana

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