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Germany Food and Drink Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Germany Food and Drink Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2320992
  • November 2012
  • Region: Germany
  • 128 pages
  • Business Monitor International

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Company Monitor
  • DMK
  • Drink
  • Food
  • Haribo
  • Lidl Group
  • MORE

The continued risk of a eurozone break-up scenario continues to cloud Germany's economic outlook. This would lead to an immediate collapse in fixed investment and hit external demand for German exports very hard. Even with this scenario remaining outside of our baseline view, uncertainty over the ongoing eurozone crisis will keep business and consumer confidence levels subdued, thus hurting investment.

Certainly, German consumption will not come to the rescue of periphery eurozone states over the next few years, as households remain cautious and the government keeps focused on fiscal consolidation.

Headline Industry Data (local currency):

- 2013 per capita food consumption = +3.3%; forecast to 2017 = +16.0%.

- 2013 alcoholic drink sales = +1.0%; forecast to 2017 = +4.5%.

- 2013 soft drink sales = +3.8%; forecast to 2017 = +16.6%.

- 2013 mass grocery retail sales = +6.0%; forecast to 2017 = +28.9%.

Key Company Trends:

DMK Aims to Expand Through Sunval Acquisition: In summer 2012 German dairy giant DMK acquired organic baby food manufacturer Sunval from German private equity firm BWK for an undisclosed amount. Sunval's sales increased READ MORE >

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Company Monitor
  • DMK
  • Drink
  • Food
  • Haribo
  • Lidl Group
  • MORE

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT Analysis 9

Germany Food Industry SWOT 9

Germany Drink Industry SWOT 10

Germany Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT 11

Business Environment 12

BMI’s Core Global Industry Views 12
Table: Core Views 20

Western Europe Risk/Reward Ratings 21
Table: Western Europe Q113 Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings (scores out of 10) 23
Table: Western Europe Q113 Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings 25

Germany Food & Drink Business Environment Rating 26

Macroeconomic Outlook 27
Table: Germany – Macroeconomic Forecasts 31

Industry Forecast Scenario 32

Consumer Outlook 32

Food 34

Food Consumption 34
Table: Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts 34

Confectionery 35
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 35

Prepared Food 36
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables 36
Table: Snack Foods 38
Table: Pasta 41
Table: Dairy 42
Table: Meat 45
Table: Fish 47
Table: Oils and Fats 49

Drink 52

Soft Drinks And Bottled Water 52
Table: Soft Drinks 52
Table: Alcoholic Drink Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 57

Hot Drinks 58
Table: Hot Drink Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 58

Mass Grocery Retail 59
Table: Germany MGR Sector – Sales Value by Format – Historical Data & Forecasts 59

Trade 60
Table: Food & Drink Trade Balance – Historical Data & Forecasts 60

Food 61

Key Industry Trends And Developments 61

DMK Aims to Expand Through Sunval Acquisition 61

Oetker Builds up Baking Business 61

Muller Teams Up With Pepsico For Push Into US Yoghurt Market 62

Barilla Announcements Fit With Branded Focus 64

UB Snack Unit Better Fit For Intersnack Than Kellogg 66

Competition In Ice Cream Heating Up 68

Halloren Looking Outside Of Germany For Chocolate Growth 69

Convenience Hits The Spot 69

Organic Food Receives Boost After Dioxin Food Scandal 70

Arla’s International Ambitions Come To Fruition With Hansa-Milch 71

DMK Urges Further Dairy Sector Consolidation 72

Katjes Looking For Stronger International Growth 73

Market Overview 74

Food Sector 74

Organics 75

Dairy 76

Drink 78

Key Industry Trends And Developments 78

A-B InBev Remains Committed to Europe 78

Henkell Positions For Sparkling Growth With Cava Acquisition 79

German Beer Exports Have Huge Potential 80

Could Coca-Cola Enterprises Ignore Germany? 81

Wine Sector Needs To Consolidate To Compete 83

Consolidation Moves In Soft Drinks 84

Winemakers Eye Asian Markets 85

Market Overview 85

Soft Drinks 85

Alcoholic Drinks 86

Mass Grocery Retail 87

Key Industry Trends And Developments 87

Ahold Launches in Germany with C-store Concept 87

Metro to Reveal Fate of Real by End 2012 87

Tengelmann to Launch Grocery Stores in Russia 88

Metro Sells UK Cash & Carry Operation 89

Metro CEO Bows To Pressure; More Radical Reorganisation Needed 90

Tengelmann Distances Itself From A&P In US 91

Grocery Retail Competition Probe Launched 91

Expansion Across Sectors To Hedge Bets 92

Market Overview 93
Table: Structure Of Germany’s Mass Grocery Retail Market – Estimated Number Of Outlets 94
Table: Structure Of Germany’s Mass Grocery Retail Market – Sales Format By Value (US$bn) 94
Table: Structure Of Germany’s Mass Grocery Retail Market – Sales Format By Value (EURmn) 95

Competitive Landscape 96
Table: Key Players in Germany's Food Sector (2008) 96
Table: Key Players in Germany's Drink Sector (2008) 98
Table: Key Players In Germany’s Mass Grocery Retail Sector 99

Company Monitor 101

Food 01

Oetker Group 01

DMK 03

Haribo 05

Lieken Group 07

Drink 09

Emig GmbH & Co KG (GerberEmig Group) 09

Radeberger Group (Oetker Group) 10

Anheuser-Busch InBev Germany 12

Mass Grocery Retail 14

Lidl Group 14

Rewe Group 16
Table: Germany's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 19
Table: Germany's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 20
Table: Germany's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 21
Table: Germany's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 21

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 122
Table: Rewards 22
Table: Risks 23

Weighting 23
Table: Weighting 23

BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary 124

Food & Drink 24

Mass Grocery Retail 24

BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing 126

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 26

Sourcing 27

Company Monitor
Food
Oetker Group
DMK
Haribo
Lieken Group
Drink
Emig GmbH & Co KG (GerberEmig Group)
Radeberger Group (Oetker Group)
Anheuser-Busch InBev Germany
Mass Grocery Retail
Lidl Group
Rewe Group

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