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Bolivia Oil and Gas Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Bolivia Oil and Gas Report Q1 2013

  • Published: November 2012
  • Region: Bolivia
  • 75 pages
  • Business Monitor International

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • BG Group – Summary
  • Company Monitor
  • Gazprom – Summary
  • Petroandina – Summary
  • Petróleo Brasileiro
  • PetroVietnam – Summary
  • MORE

BMI View: While natural gas production will grow over much of our forecast period, following 2018, we believe total out will begin to slowly decline as falling volumes from mature fields fail to be offset by new upstream investment. Investment in new exploration and production will continue to be undermined by the uncertain regulatory and business environment fostered by the government’s resource nationalism.

We are also forecasting a similar fall in liquids production, with oil output set to begin declining after 2017 following several years of small but steady increases.

There are several main trends and developments worth highlighting:

- Investment in Bolivia's upstream sector continues to be undermined by the country's poor business environment; the country was forced to put exploration licences on offer following poor interest from exploration and production companies. Only three firms expressed interest in the blocks, causing the government to extend and finally revoke the licences with plans to reissue them.

- While we forecast gas production to rise over the short term before peaking at 21.5bcm in 2018,
we believe inadequate upstream investment READ MORE >

BMI Industry View 5

SWOT Analysis 6

Bolivia Oil and Gas SWOT 6

Industry Forecast Scenario 7

Oil And Gas Reserves 7
Table: Bolivia Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data – Historical Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016 7
Table: Bolivia Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data – Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021 8

Oil Supply And Demand 10
Table: Bolivia Oil Production, Consumption And Net Exports – Historical Data And Forecasts, 2010-2016 10
Table: Bolivia Oil Production, Consumption And Net Exports – Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021 11

Gas Supply And Demand 13
Table: Bolivia Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2016 13
Table: Bolivia Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports – Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021 14

LNG 17

Refining and Oil Products Trade 17

Revenues/Import Costs 17

Country Risk/Reward Ratings 18

Bolivia Upstream Rating 18

Bolivia Downstream Rating 18

Regional Risk/Reward Ratings 19
Table: Latin American Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings 20
Table: Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings 22
Table: Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings 24

Bolivia Energy Market Overview 25

Overview/State Role 26

Licensing and Regulation 27

Government Policy 28

International Energy Relations 29

Oil And Gas Infrastructure 32

Oil Refineries 32
Table: Downstream Projects 32

Oil And Gas Pipelines 32

Competitive Landscape 34

Executive Summary 34
Table: Key Players – Bolivian Oil And Gas Sector 35
Table: Key Upstream Players 35
Table: Key Downstream Player 36

Company Monitor 37

Yacimientos Petrolíferos Fiscales Bolivianos (YPFB) 37

Petróleo Brasileiro 39

Repsol Bolivia 41

Total – Summary 43

BG Group – Summary 43

YPFB Chaco – Summary 44

Petroandina – Summary 44

Gazprom – Summary 45

Transredes – Summary 46

YPFB Logística – Summary 46

GTL International – Summary 46

PetroVietnam – Summary 47

Regional Energy Market Outlook 48

Global Energy Market Outlook 53
Table: Global Oil Demand Forecasts – A Comparison 55

Latin America – Regional Appendix 59
Table: Oil Consumption – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (’000b/d) 59
Table: Oil Consumption – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (’000b/d) 59
Table: Oil Production – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (’000b/d) 60
Table: Oil Production – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (’000b/d) 61
Table: Refining Capacity – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (’000b/d) 61
Table: Refining Capacity – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (’000b/d) 62
Table: Gas Consumption – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 62
Table: Gas Consumption – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 63
Table: Gas Production – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 63
Table: Gas Production – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 64
Table: LNG Exports – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 64
Table: LNG Exports – Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 65

Methodology And Risks To Forecasts 66

Glossary Of Terms 67
Table: Glossary Of Terms 67

Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 69

Ratings Overview 69
Table: BMI’s Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings – Structure 70

Indicators 70
Table: BMI’s Oil & Gas Upstream Ratings – Methodology 70
Table: BMI’s Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings – Methodology 71

BMI Methodology 73

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 73

Energy Industry 73

Cross checks 74

Sources 74

Company Monitor
Yacimientos Petrolíferos Fiscales Bolivianos (YPFB)
Petróleo Brasileiro
Repsol Bolivia
Total – Summary
BG Group – Summary
YPFB Chaco – Summary
Petroandina – Summary
Gazprom – Summary
Transredes – Summary
YPFB Logística – Summary
GTL International – Summary
PetroVietnam – Summary

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