Botswana Infrastructure Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2323426
  • November 2012
  • Region: Botswana
  • 65 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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BMI View:

Botswana will continue to post double digit construction industry value growth in 2013 and 2014, driven by investment into infrastructure. Whilst we do expect the industry growth rates to gradually slow over the forecast period, this is more due to base effects than any winding down of momentum. Demand from a booming mining sector, especially for expanded electricity capacity is driving new investment into the sector. We anticipate annual average growth of 10.7% between 2013 and 2017.

We have upgraded our 2012 forecast based on H1 real growth of 22%, and are now anticipating 21.9% real growth for the year. Growth is expected to remain in the double digits in 2013 and 2014 at 15.9% and 10.5% y-o-y; however, we do anticipate real growth to slow to a more consistent but still strong rate over our forecast period.

The biggest source of value creation is likely to remain electricity investments. The country is working hard to reduce its reliance on South Africa, which has proven to be an unreliable source of electricity, and cater to growing demand domestically from its mining sector. There are a number of ongoing projects in the sector being developed by IPPs READ MORE >

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BMI Industry View 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Botswana Infrastructure Industry SWOT 7

Market Overview 8

Southern Africa Competitive Landscape 8
Table: Number Of Contractors In Southern Africa (exc South Africa) 8

Building Materials 13

Africa 13

Source: WSA, BMI 17

Industry Forecast Scenario 18
Table: Botswana Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2017 18
Table: Botswana Construction And Infrastructure Long Term Forecast, 2014-2021 18

Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 20

Transport Infrastructure 23
Table: Planned And Ongoing Transport Projects, Southern Africa 26

Major Projects Table - Transport 29
Table: Southern Africa Transport 29

Energy and Utilities Infrastructure 32
Table: Planned And Ongoing Energy & Utilities Projects, Southern Africa 37

Major Projects Table – Energy and Utilities 41
Table: Major Projects - Southern Africa Energy & Utilities 41

Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure 44

Regional Residential/Non-Residential Building Outlook and Overview 44

Risk/Reward Ratings 48

Botswana Risk/Reward Ratings 48

Rewards 48

Risks 48

Regional Overview 49
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings 51

Global Overview 52

Methodology 59

Industry Forecasts 59

Construction Industry 60

Data Methodology 60

New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors 60

Construction 61

Capital Investment 62

Construction Sector Employment 63

Infrastructure Business Environment Rating 63
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators 64

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