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Russia Retail Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Russia Retail Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2356131
  • December 2012
  • Region: Russia
  • 87 pages
  • Business Monitor International

The Russian Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags shortterm concerns about the impact on Russia's economic outlook of the risk of capital flight and overdependence on oil.

The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Russian retail market while minimising investment risk, and also explores the impact of the ongoing crisis in the country's main export market,
Europe, on the Russian consumer and on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term.

The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the Russian retail sector, as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local market.

Russian per capita consumer spending is forecast to increase by 44% between 2013 and 2016, compared with a regional growth average of 33%. The country comes third in BMI's Central and Eastern Europe
(CEE) Retail Risk/Reward Ratings, although it underperforms significantly for Risk.

Among all retail categories, mass grocery retail (MGR) will be the outperformer through to 2016 in growth terms, with sales forecast READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Russia Retail Business Environment SWOT 7

Russia Political SWOT 8

Russia Economic SWOT 9

Market Overview 10

Current Trends 11

Key Players 14

Industry Forecast Scenario 20

Consumer Outlook 20

Retail Growth Outlook 21
Table: Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016 22
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Key Segment, 2013f 25

Macroeconomic Outlook 25
Table: Economic Activity 28

Regional Retail Outlook 29

Central And Eastern Europe Retail Outlook 29
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Trends, 2009-2016 29
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (US$bn, unless stated) 29
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Sales By % Share, 2009-2016 31

Regional Retail Trends 31

Risk/Reward Ratings 40
Table: Regional Retail Business Environment Ratings 40

Russia's Retail Rating 41

Limits To Potential Returns 41

Risks To Realisation Of Returns 42

Mass Grocery Retail 43

Russia Mass Grocery Retail SWOT 43

Market Overview 43
Table: Structure Of The Mass Retail Grocery Market By Number Of Outlets, 2003-2011 45
Table: Structure Of The Mass Retail Grocery Market By Value, 2003-2011 45
Table: Average Sales Value per Retail Outlet – 2011 45

Industry Forecast Scenario 46
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2009-2016 46
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type 48

Trade 48
Table: Trade Indicators, 2009-2016 49

Industry Developments 49

Consumer Electronics 51

Russia Consumer Electronics Market SWOT 51

Market Overview 52

Computers 52
Table: PC Sales, 2008-2016 52

AV 55
Table: AV Sales, 2009-2016 55

Mobile Handsets 59
Table: Mobile Communications, 2008-2016 59

Three Most Popular Models In Different Pricing Categories In MTS Retail Network Q311, % Of Total Units Sold 62

Industry Forecast Scenario 66

Consumer Electronics Market 66
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2008-2016 66

Industry Developments 68

Automotives 71

Russia Autos Industry SWOT 71

Industry Forecast Scenario 71

Domestic Sales 71
Table: Autos Sales, 2010-2016 71

Production 73
Table: Autos Production, 2010-2016 73

Trade 75
Table: Autos Trade, 2010-2016 75

Passenger Cars 79
Table: Passenger Car Segment, 2010-2016 79

Demographic Outlook 81
Table: Russia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 82
Table: Russia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 83
Table: Russia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 84
Table: Russia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 84

BMI Methodology 85

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 85

Sources 86

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