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Japan Defence and Security Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Japan Defence and Security Report Q1 2013

  • Published: December 2012
  • Region: Japan
  • 79 pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI’s Japan Defence & Security Report for Q1 2013 examines the country’s strategic position in the East Asian region and the wider world. It provides an overview of the contemporary geopolitical challenges facing the country, and the trials it may face in the future.

The report examines the trends occurring in the country’s current and future defence procurement, and the order of battle across its armed forces. The intention is to provide a clear and concise discussion of these issues. The report’s general conclusion is that in spite of growing concern about China’s military rise,
Japan looks set to remain heavily dependent on the United States as the guarantor of its security. Indeed,
worsening relations with China over a long-running territorial dispute have not been sufficient to alter Japan’s trajectory of shrinking defence spending. The 2013 defence budget will be Japan’s smallest in over 20 years.

However, the declining budget is more a reflection of the country’s difficult fiscal position than of its geopolitical outlook. The latest dispute with China shook Japan very badly, as Japanese businesses in China READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Japan Security SWOT 7

Japan Defence Industry SWOT 8

Japan Political SWOT 9

Japan Economic SWOT 10

Japan Business Environment SWOT 11

Global Political Outlook 12

North East Asia Security Overview 17

North East Asia: The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s 17

The Geopolitical Importance Of North East Asia 17

Flashpoints And Faultlines In North East Asia 18

The China-North Korea Border 21

The Taiwan Strait 22

Disputed Islands 23

The Russia-China Border 25

China's Western Periphery 25

The Evolution Of North East Asia 26

Security Risk Analysis 30
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings 30
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 31

Political Overview 32

Domestic Politics 32

Tokyo Governor's New Party: Implications 32

Foreign relations 34

Sino-Japanese Island Dispute: Key Questions And Answers 34

Japan Security Overview 38

Internal Security Situation 38
Table: Japan – Non-State Armed Groups 39

External Security Situation 40

Territorial Disputes 43

US-Japan Relations 48

Relations With North Korea And China 50

Armed Forces And Government Spending 53

Armed Forces 53

Normalisation Of Japan’s Defence Forces 53

Defence Budget 54

International Deployments 55

Weapons Of Mass Destruction 55

Market Overview 57
Table: Defence Research And Development (R&D) As % Of Government R&D Budget, Selected Developed States 57

Industry Trends And Developments 60

Procurement Trends And Developments 61

Industry Forecast Scenario 64

Armed Forces 64
Table: Japan’s Armed Forces, 2002-2008 64
Table: Japan’s Manpower Available For Military Services, 2010-2017, (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 64

Defence Expenditure 64
Table: Japan’s Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 65
Table: Japan’s Defence Expenditure Scenario – Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017, (US$mn) 66

Defence Trade 66
Table: Japan’s Defence Exports, 2010-2017, (US$mn) 66
Table: Japan’s Defence Imports, 2010-2017, (US$mn) 67
Table: Japan’s Defence Trade Balance, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 67

Competitive Landscape 68

Macroeconomic Forecast 70
Table: Japan – Economic Activity, 2011-2016 72

Company Profiles 73

Fuji Heavy Industries (FHI) 73

Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries (IHI) 74

Kawasaki Heavy Industries (KHI) 75

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI) 76

BMI Methodology 77

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 77

Defence Industry 77

Sources 78

Company Profiles
Fuji Heavy Industries (FHI)
Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries (IHI)
Kawasaki Heavy Industries (KHI)
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI)

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