South Korea Defence and Security Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2364025
  • December 2012
  • Region: South Korea
  • 78 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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The South Korea Defence and Security Report examines the country's strategic position in the North East Asian region and the wider world. It provides an overview of the contemporary geopolitical challenges facing the country, and the challenges it may face in the future.

The report examines the trends occurring in the country's current and future defence procurement, and the order of battle across its armed forces. The intention is to provide a clear and concise discussion of these issues. The report's general conclusion is that the death of North Korean leader Kim Jong Il and the succession of his son, Kim Jong Un, has done little to alter the security dynamic on the Korean peninsula.

As a result, Seoul will continue to invest heavily in modern military equipment, and also remain a committed US ally and a core partner in the US's 'pivot' to Asia.

Attention is now turning towards South Korea's presidential election in December 2012, and to the new presidential term beginning in February 2013. With both leading presidential candidates expressing a desire to kick-start talks with the North, much will depend on the approach of Kim Jong Un, who remains a largely unknown READ MORE >

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Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

South Korea Security SWOT 7

South Korea Defence Industry SWOT 9

South Korea Political SWOT 10

South Korea Economic SWOT 11

South Korea Business Environment SWOT 12

Global Political Outlook 13

North East Asia Security Overview 18

North East Asia: The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s 18

The Geopolitical Importance Of North East Asia 18

Flashpoints And Faultlines In North East Asia 19

The China-North Korea Border 22

The Taiwan Strait 23

Disputed Islands 24

The Russia-China Border 25

China's Western Periphery 26

The Evolution Of North East Asia 27

Security Risk Analysis 30
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings 30
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 31

South Korea's Security Risk 31

Political Overview 33

Domestic Politics 33

Long-Term Political Outlook 34

Security Overview 39

Internal Security Situation 39

External Security Situation 40

Armed Forces And Government Spending 53

Armed Forces 53

International Deployments 53
Table: South Korea's Deployments 53

Weapons Of Mass Destruction 54

Market Overview 55

Arms Trade Overview 56

Industry Trends And Developments 59

Procurement Trends And Developments 61

Competitive Landscape 61
Table: Key Players In South Korea's Defence Sector 63

Industry Forecast Scenario 64

Armed Forces 64
Table: South Korea's Armed Forces, 2002-2009 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 64
Table: South Korea's Manpower Available For Military Services (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated), 2010-2017 64

Defence Expenditure 64
Table: South Korea's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 65
Table: South Korea's Defence Expenditure By Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 66

Defence Trade 66

Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario 67

Macroeconomic Forecast 68
Table: South Korea - Economic Activity, 2011-216 70

Company Profiles 71

Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering (DSME) 71

Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction 72

Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI) 74

Samsung Thales 75

BMI Methodology 76

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 76

Defence Industry 76

Sources 77

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Company Profiles
Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering (DSME)
Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction
Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI)
Samsung Thales

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown


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