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Australia Metals Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Australia Metals Report Q1 2013

  • Published: January 2013
  • Region: Australia
  • 74 pages
  • Business Monitor International


  • Alcoa
  • Arrium Limited
  • BlueScope Steel
  • Company Profiles
  • Rio Tinto
  • MORE

BMI View: Across all types of metals, we expect subdued growth in both production and consumption in Australia as a weakening global economic outlook, notably China, continue to take its toll on Australia's commodity driven economy. While significant additional global monetary stimulus should help to boost metal prices in the near term, the bout of loosening measures will be insufficient to stem the slowdown and the medium-term outlook for metals remain weak.

The slowdown in the metals industry in Australia is best exemplified by the country's monthly crude steel production, which has continued to slide into negative territory following positive growth in 2010. Weak demand from slowing domestic construction and a cooling export market will continue to undermine Australia's steel industry in 2013. Crude steel production is expected to contract by 6.5% in 2013 and national production is unlikely to approach pre-crisis levels for many years. The country's two dominant steel producers, BlueScope Steel Ltd and Arrium Ltd (previously known as OneSteel Ltd), has embarked on a series of consolidation plans and restructuring programmes aimed at reducing operating costs and curbing overcapacity READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Australia Metals Sector SWOT 7

Australia Business Environment SWOT 8

Industry Forecasts 9

Aluminium: Slow Growth To 2017 9
Table: Australia - Refined Aluminium Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise) 12

Lead: Little Potential For Strong Growth 12
Table: Australia - Refined Lead Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise) 16

Nickel: Future Lies In Queensland Nickel's Hands 16
Table: Australia - Refined Nickel Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise) 19

Steel: Construction Slowdown To Dominate 19
Table: Australia - Steel Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise) 23
Table: Australia - Steel Production Historic Data ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise) 24

Zinc: Output Growth Heading Towards Negative Territory 24
Table: Australia - Refined Zinc Production & Consumption 27

Macroeconomic Outlook 28

The Painful Undoing Of Built-Up Imbalances 28
Table: Australia - Economic Activity 30

Commodities Forecast 31

Monthly Metals Update 31
Table: Select Commodities: Performance & BMI Forecasts 43

Steel Forecast 44

Steel To Average US$360/tonne In 2013: Short-Term View 44
Table: Steel Forecast 44
Table: Steel Forecasts 50

Competitive Landscape 51
Table: Australia - Largest Listed Metal Producers 52

Company Profiles 53

Alcoa 53
Table: Alcoa - Financial Data 56

Arrium Limited 57
Table: Arrium Limited - Financial Data 60

Rio Tinto 61
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data 64

BlueScope Steel 65
Table: BlueScope Steel - Financial Data 68

Demographic Outlook 69
Table: Australia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 70
Table: Australia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 71
Table: Australia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 72
Table: Australia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 72

BMI Methodology 73

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 73

Cross Checks 73

Company Profiles
Arrium Limited
Rio Tinto
BlueScope Steel

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