Poland Defence and Security Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2364635
  • December 2012
  • Region: Poland
  • 61 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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  • Bumar
  • Company Profiles
  • HSW
  • WSK PZL Mielec
  • WSK PZL Rzeszow
  • MORE

BMI's Poland Defence & Security Report for Q113 examines the country's strategic position in Europe and the wider world. It provides an overview of the contemporary geopolitical challenges facing the country, and the trials it may face in the future. In addition, the report examines the trends witnessed in the country's current and future defence procurement, and considers the order of battle across its armed forces. The intention is to provide a clear and concise discussion of these issues. The report's general conclusion is that while some restraints may exist vis-à-vis Polish defence procurement, broadly speaking the country expects to continue the trend of defence modernisation it commenced at the end of the Cold War, following the dissolution of the Soviet Union.

In the two decades since the end of the Cold War, seeing the collapse of both the Warsaw Pact and the Soviet Union, the country has taken an increasingly active position in international military affairs. As Poland plans to withdraw its combat troops from Afghanistan in the 2014/15 timeframe, in line with NATO's overall goals of ending its military presence there, the country is now contemplating its military READ MORE >

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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  • Bumar
  • Company Profiles
  • HSW
  • WSK PZL Mielec
  • WSK PZL Rzeszow
  • MORE

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6

Poland Security SWOT 6

Poland Defence Industry SWOT 7

Poland Political SWOT 8

Poland Economic SWOT 8

Poland Business Environment SWOT 9

Global Political Outlook 10

Europe Security Overview 15

The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s 15

Europe In A Global Context 15

Europe's Key Security Issues Over The Coming Decade 15

The Future Of The Eurozone And EU 15

EU Expansion 16

NATO Expansion And Relations With The US 16

Post-Qadhafi Libya 17

Relations With Russia 18

Relations With Turkey 18

The Balkans 19

Organised Crime 19

Islamist Terrorism 20

The Greater Black Sea Region 20

The Armenia-Azerbaijan Dispute 21

Security Risk Analysis 23

BMI’s Security Ratings 23
Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings 23
Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 24

Political Overview 26

Domestic Politics 26

Long-Term Political Outlook 27

Poland Security Overview 33

Internal Security Situation 33

External Security Situation 33

Armed Forces And Government Spending 34

Grand Strategy 34

Order of Battle 34

Defence Modernisation 38

International Deployment and Joint Exercises 42

Weapons of Mass Destruction 43

Market Overview 44

Poland Defence & Security Report Q1 2013

© Business Monitor International Ltd

Page 4

Arms Trade Overview 45

Procurement Trends and Developments 46

Industry Forecast Scenario 47

Armed Forces 47
Table: Poland’s Armed Forces, 2000-2009 (’000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 47
Table: Poland’s Manpower Available For Military Services, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 47

Defence Expenditure 48
Table: Poland’s Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 48
Table: Poland’s Defence Expenditure Scenario – Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 49
Table: Poland’s Defence Exports, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 50
Table: Poland’s Defence Imports, 2010 -2017 (US$mn) 51
Table: Poland’s Defence Trade Balance, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 51

Macroeconomic Forecast 52
Table: Economic Activity, 2011-2016 54

Company Profiles 55

Bumar 55

HSW 56

WSK PZL Mielec 57

WSK PZL Rzeszow 58

BMI Methodology 59

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 59

Defence Industry 59

Sources 60

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Company Profiles
WSK PZL Mielec
WSK PZL Rzeszow

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4 of 4
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown


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