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United States Defence and Security Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

United States Defence and Security Report Q1 2013

  • Published: January 2013
  • Region: United States
  • 88 pages
  • Business Monitor International

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Barak Obama was re-elected President in November 2012. While details regarding the president's defence policy are awaited at the time of writing (November 2012), the United States is expected to continue with its plans to withdraw the bulk of its forces from Afghanistan by 2015.

As the US reduces its footprint in the country, it will hand over an increasing share of the security burden to the Afghan National Army and police force.

The eventual withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan is expected to yield significant savings to the Department of Defense budget. For fiscal year (FY) 2013, President Obama has requested US$525.4bn.

During the next decade, the Pentagon is expected to make budget savings of up to US$487bn, which will be achieved, in part, by the cessation of military operations in Afghanistan.

Over the long term, the US will make a major reduction in the size of its strategic nuclear weapons inventory. Currently, around 5,000 operational and reserve nuclear warheads are in the possession of the US armed forces, including around 200 tactical nuclear weapons. The New START (Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty) agreement between Russia and the US will READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6

US Security SWOT 6

US Political SWOT 7

US Economic SWOT 8

US Business Environment SWOT 8

Global Political Outlook 9

Security Risk Analysis 14
Table: Developed States Security Risk Ratings (scores out of 100, with 100 the best) 14
Table: Developed States Vulnerability To Terrorism Index (scores out of 100, with 100 the best) 14

Political Overview 16

Domestic Politics 16
Table: Fiscal Cliff Timeline 17

Foreign Policy - I 19

Foreign Policy - II 20

10 Geopolitical Factors For The Near Future 23

Long-Term Political Outlook 27

United States Security Overview 31

Internal Security 31

Transit Vulnerability 32

Internal Terrorism 33

Cyber-Terrorism 33

Pandemics 34

Crime And Drugs 34

External Security Situation 35
Table: Regional Insurgent Groups - US-Designated Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs) 35

Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) 36

Iran 38

North Korea 39

Afghanistan 41

Iraq 43

Yemen 44

Armed Forces And Government Spending 45

Defence Decision Making 45

Grand Strategy 45

Order of Battle 47

Defence Modernisation 49

International Deployment and Joint Exercises 56
Table: Foreign Deployments 57

Weapons Of Mass Destruction 57

Market Overview 60

Arms Trade Overview 60

Industry Trends and Developments 62

Industry Forecast Scenario 65

Armed Forces 65
Table: US Armed Forces Personnel, 2002-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 65
Table: US Manpower Available For Military Services, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 65

Defence Expenditure 66
Table: US Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 67
Table: US Defence Expenditure Scenarios - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 68

Defence Trade 69
Table: US Defence Exports, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 69
Table: US Defence Imports, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 70
Table: US Defence Trade Balance, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 70

Macroeconomic Forecast 71
Table: United States - GDP By Expenditure, Real Growth %, 2009-2016 75

Company Profiles 76

Boeing 76

L-3 Communications 78

Lockheed Martin 80

Northrop Grumman 82

Raytheon 84

BMI Methodology 86

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 86

Defence Industry 86

Sources 87

Company Profiles
Boeing
L-3 Communications
Lockheed Martin
Northrop Grumman
Raytheon

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