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South Africa Oil and Gas Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

South Africa Oil and Gas Report Q1 2013

  • Published: January 2013
  • Region: Africa, South Africa
  • 80 pages
  • Business Monitor International

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • BP - Summary
  • Caltex - Summary
  • Company Profiles
  • Engen - Summary
  • Others - Summary
  • Petro SA
  • MORE

BMI View:

Rumours abound that the traditional refinery operators in South Africa could abandon the country in the face of huge investment in capacity to meet higher fuel specifications. Plans by the country to build a large new refinery are also causing concern, so the outlook for the downstream segment is uncertain. The state looks likely to allow drilling for shale gas to proceed, unlocking considerable upstream potential - although local resistance is set to continue.

The main trends and developments in South Africa's oil & gas sector are:

- South Africa's Cabinet has announced the end of a temporary ban on fraccing, which has been in place since April 2011. Royal Dutch Shell, Bundu Oil & Gas, South Africa's Sasol, and US independent Chesapeake Energy are among the players actively pursuing the development of shale gas in South Africa. The government's decision will move the process forward, with public consultations the next step in an ongoing process to develop the country's unconventional gas reserves. Environmental groups have responded to the government's decision by confirming they will file a lawsuit to prevent any actual production of shale gas, READ MORE >

BMI Industry View 5

SWOT Analysis 7

South Africa Oil and Gas SWOT 7

Industry Forecast Scenario 8

Oil And Gas Reserves 8
Table: South Africa Proven Oil and Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2010-2016 8
Table: South Africa Proven Oil and Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2015-2021 9

Oil Supply And Demand 13
Table: South Africa Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2010-2016 13
Table: South Africa Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2015-2021 14

Gas Supply And Demand 15
Table: South Africa Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2010-2016 15
Table: South Africa Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2015-2021 17

Revenues And Import Costs 19

Key Risks to BMI's Forecast Scenario 19

Country Risk/Reward Ratings 20

South Africa Upstream Rating - Overview 20

South Africa Upstream Rating - Rewards 20

South Africa Upstream Rating - Risk 20

South Africa Downstream Rating - Overview 20

South Africa Downstream Rating - Rewards 20

South Africa Downstream Rating - Risks 21

Regional Risk/Reward Rating 22
Table: Africa's Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings 23
Table: Africa's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Table: Proposed And Planned Refineries In Africa 28

South Africa Energy Market Overview 29
Table: South Africa - Upstream Projects Database 30

Overview/State Role 31

Licensing And Regulation 31

Government Policy 31

Licensing Rounds 33

International Energy Relations 34

Oil & Gas Infrastructure 35

Oil Refineries 35
Table: Refineries In South Africa 36

Refineries In Durban 36

Other Refineries 37

Service Stations 39

Oil Storage Facilities 39

Oil Terminals/ Ports 39

Oil Pipelines 39

Synthetic Fuels Plants 39
Table: Synthetic Fuels Plants In South Africa 40

LNG Terminals 40

Gas Pipelines 41

Competitive Landscape 42

Executive Summary 42
Table: Key Players In South African Oil And Gas Sectors 43
Table: Key Upstream Player 44
Table: Key Downstream Players 44

Company Profiles 45

Petro SA 45

Sasol 48

Engen - Summary 50

Royal Dutch Shell - Summary 50

Total - Summary 51

BP - Summary 51

Caltex - Summary 51

Chesapeake/Statoil - Summary 52

Rompco - Summary 52

Others - Summary 52

Regional Energy Market Outlook 54

Global Energy Market Outlook 59
Table: Global Oil Demand Forecasts - A Comparison 61

Africa - Regional Appendix 64
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 64
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 64
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 65
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 66
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 66
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 67
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 67
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 68
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 69
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 69

LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 70

LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 70

Methodology And Risks To Forecasts 71

Glossary Of Terms 72
Table: Glossary Of Terms 72

Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 74

Ratings Overview 74
Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings - Structure 75

Indicators 75
Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Upstream Ratings - Methodology 75
Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings - Methodology 76

BMI Methodology 78

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 78

Energy Industry 78

Cross checks 79

Sources 79

Company Profiles
Petro SA
Sasol
Engen - Summary
Royal Dutch Shell - Summary
Total - Summary
BP - Summary
Caltex - Summary
Chesapeake/Statoil - Summary
Rompco - Summary
Others - Summary

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