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Serbia Autos Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Serbia Autos Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2373658
  • January 2013
  • Region: Serbia
  • 47 pages
  • Business Monitor International

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Company Monitor
  • Company Profiles
  • Zastava Automobile
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BMI has revised down slightly its Serbian vehicle sales growth forecasts for the third successive quarter,
on the back of the latest industry figures, which suggest that new vehicle demand remains sluggish, and our expectations of a slowdown in economic growth. We have revised down our forecast for Serbian real GDP growth from 0.4% to 0.2% in 2012 because of a sharp contraction in Q112. The eurozone crisis will weigh on exports and investment, while fiscal consolidation will reduce domestic demand in the second half of 2012 (H212).

We estimate sales to fall 22% in 2012, with total vehicle sales of 24,788. From 2012 to 2017, we expect vehicle sales to grow by a modest 3% year-on-year (y-o-y) on average. Again, this is slightly lower than last quarter when we pencilled in an annual average sales rise of 6% y-o-y between 2011 and 2016.

In 2012, we expect the overall consumer profile to weaken as fiscal consolidation measures come into play from H212, with the aim of bringing the fiscal deficit under control. The country's self-imposed fiscal responsibility rule and the need to comply with IMF conditions will see public spending greatly curtailed and the imposition of a READ MORE >

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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Company Monitor
  • Company Profiles
  • Zastava Automobile
  • MORE

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6

Serbia Autos Industry SWOT 6

Serbia Political SWOT 7

Serbia Economic SWOT 7

Serbia Business Environment SWOT 8

Global Overview 9

UK Boosts Europe, But Favourites Still Outperform 9
Table: Passenger Car Sales 8M12 9

Incentive Boom For Japan, US Powers On 9

Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 14

Poor Show From Western Europe Hurts Region's Score In BMI Ratings 14
Table: BMI Industry Risk/Reward Ratings For Autos In Europe 18

Regional Overview 19

Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario 26

Industry Forecast Scenario 28
Table: Serbian Automotive Production And Sales, 2010-2017 28

Trade 29

Competitive Landscape 31

Zastava 32

Industry News 33

Government Plans All-Round Support For Struggling CV Production Segment Error! Bookmark not defined.

Company News 34

International Suppliers To Lay Groundwork For More OEM Investment 35

Company Monitor 37

Company Profiles 39

Zastava Automobile 39

Demographic Outlook 41
Table: Serbia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 42
Table: Serbia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 43
Table: Serbia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 44
Table: Serbia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 44

BMI Methodology 45

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 45

Sources 46

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

Company Monitor
Company Profiles
Zastava Automobile

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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