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India Autos Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

India Autos Report Q1 2013

  • Published: January 2013
  • Region: India
  • 63 pages
  • Business Monitor International

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Bajaj Auto
  • Company Monitor
  • Company Profiles
  • Hyundai
  • Mahindra and Mahindra
  • Maruti Suzuki
  • MORE

BMI believes new forecasts released by the Society of Indian Automotive Manufacturers (SIAM) in October 2012 are too bearish. SIAM now expects passenger car sales to grow by 1-3% for FY2013 from a previous forecast of 10%. According to S Sandilya, the President of SIAM, the slowdown in economic growth coupled with high interest rates will further decelerate growth.

However, we agree with the headwinds seen by SIAM for the Indian auto market and are also revising our FY2013 forecasts for the overall passenger vehicle sales market downwards to come in at 2.86mn units, a growth rate of 6.8% from 9.1% previously. On the whole though, we are more bullish on India's auto industry than SIAM.

While SIAM citied the recent diesel price hike as one of the reasons to downgrade growth in passenger car sales to 1-3%, we do not believe that the hike will have such a huge negative impact on this segment.

We do not expect the spread between diesel and petrol to narrow much further going forward due to political pressures to maintain diesel subsidies. Although the price of diesel has increased, it is still much cheaper than petrol. Therefore, the strong demand for diesel vehicles READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6

India Auto Industry SWOT 6

India Political SWOT 7

India Economic SWOT 8

India Business Environment SWOT 9

Global Overview 10

UK Boosts Europe, But Favourites Still Outperform 10
Table: Passenger Car Sales 8M12 10

Incentive Boom For Japan, US Powers On 10

Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 15
Table: Business Environment Ratings -- Auto Industry Asia Pacific 18

Regional Overview 19

Japanese Autos: Outlining The Bear Case Alternatives 19

Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario 25
Table: India - GDP By Expenditure, Current Prices Breakdown 27

Industry Forecast Scenario 28

Production And Sales 28
Table: India Autos Sector - Sales And Production, 2009-2017 28

Trade 29
Table: India Autos - Trade, 2009-2017 29

Industry Developments 30

Passenger Vehicles - Forecast and Analysis 32

Production And Sales 32
Table: India Autos Sector - Passenger Cars, 2009-2017 32

Company Developments 32

Commercial Vehicles - Forecast and Analysis 37

Production And Sales 37
Table: India Autos Sector - Commercial Vehicles, 2009-2017 37

Company Developments 38

Motorcycles - Forecast and Analysis 42

Production And Sales 42
Table: India Autos Sector - Motorcycles, 2009-2017 42

Company Developments 42

Automotive Suppliers - Analysis 46

Segment Developments 46

Company Developments 47

Company Monitor 49

Mercedes Takes Knocked-Down Route To Asia 49

Company Profiles 51

Hyundai 51

Maruti Suzuki 52

Tata Motors 53

Mahindra and Mahindra 54

Bajaj Auto 55

Demographic Outlook 57
Table: India's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 58
Table: India's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 59
Table: India's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 60
Table: India's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 60

BMI Methodology 61

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 61

Automobile Industry 62

Sources 62

Company Monitor
Mercedes Takes Knocked-Down Route To Asia
Company Profiles
Hyundai
Maruti Suzuki
Tata Motors
Mahindra and Mahindra
Bajaj Auto

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