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Romania Metals Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Romania Metals Report Q1 2013

  • Published: January 2013
  • Region: Romania
  • 53 pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI's Romania Metals Report for Q1 2013 examines the latest developments in the country's steel and aluminium industries and whether ongoing investment will be sufficient to boost production and improve the country's competitive advantage in the years ahead. The report examines how producers are minimising investment risk and also explores the impact of the increasingly precarious external macroeconomic environment on Romanian consumption. The growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the steel and aluminium sectors are also analysed, as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local automotive and construction sectors.

In the first 10 months of 2012 Romanian crude steel output grew 2.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 3.26mn tonnes (mnt) with monthly output sustained at the levels seen in H211. Its performance in 2012 reversed the loss seen in 2011, although production is still more than a third less than pre-2008 levels. Steel has benefitted from the depreciation of the leu against the euro, sustaining its competitive edge against Western European producers, but has been undermined by the idling of a 1mntpa blast furnace at READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 7

Romania Business Environment SWOT 7

Europe Metals Overview 8

Steel 9

Aluminium 12

Industry Forecasts 14

Steel 14
Table: Romania - Steel Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise), 2009-2017 16
Table: Romania's Steel Production & Trade ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise), 2003-2010 16

Aluminium 17
Table: Romania's Primary Aluminium (mn tonnes), 2009-2017 18

Macroeconomic Outlook 19
Table: Romania - GDP By Expenditure, Real Growth %, 2008-2016 21

Commodities Forecast 22

Monthly Metals Update 22

Iron Ore: Temporary Resilience 24

Steel: No Sustained Recovery 26

Aluminium: Resistance To Be Tested 28

Copper: Chinese Stockpiles Present Downside Risk 29

Lead: Range-Trade Ahead 30

Nickel: No Return To 2012 Highs 31

Tin: Continued Outperformance 32

Zinc: Little Room For Optimism 33
Table: Select Commodities: Performance & BMI Forecasts 34

Steel Forecast 35

Steel To Average US$360/tonne In 2013: Short-Term View 35
Table: Steel Forecast 35
Table: Steel Forecasts, 2007-2014 41

Competitive Landscape 42

Aluminium 42

Steel 43

Company Profiles 45

ArcelorMittal 45
Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data, 2005-2011 48

Alro SA 49

Mechel 50

Tenaris Silcotub 51

BMI Methodology 52

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 52

Cross Checks 52

Company Profile
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