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Sudan and South Sudan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Sudan and South Sudan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2384499
  • January 2013
  • Region: Sudan
  • 75 pages
  • Business Monitor International

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BMI View:

The restart of oil production from Sudan's oil fields is a positive development, though we highlight that damaged fields, infrastructure, and technical challenges pose downside risks to the nearterm recovery of volumes. While we expect production to recover to pre-crisis levels, we believe this will not take place until 2016 when output reaches 448,990b/d. Although Sudan was able to successfully issue new licences, we are more optimistic regarding South Sudan's oil potential, with the latest agreement potentially a prelude to increased upstream activity in the country.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Sudan and South Sudan's oil and gas sector are:

- The restart of production from South Sudan following an agreement between the two countries on transit fees marks a significant milestone, but outstanding security and border issues could undermine stability and again interrupt the flow of oil to markets.

- Damage to production facilities and fields, a shortage of industry labour, and the impact of the abrupt stoppage of production are among the challenges South Sudan will face in restarting output. However, we estimate Juba's production READ MORE >

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • Company Profiles
  • Hana Microelectronics
  • MORE

BMI Industry View 5

SWOT Analysis 6

Sudan And South Sudan Oil and Gas SWOT 6

Industry Forecast Scenario 7

Oil And Gas Reserves 7
Table: Sudan Proven Oil and Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2011-2017 7
Table: Sudan Proven Oil and Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2015-2021 8

Oil Supply And Demand 11
Table: Sudan Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2011-2017 11
Table: Sudan Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2016-2021 12

Revenues and Import Costs 15
Table: Sudan Refining - Production and Consumption, 2011-2017 15
Table: Sudan Refining - Production and Consumption, 2015-2021 16

Sudan And South Sudan Energy Market Overview 17
Table: Upstream Projects 18

Overview/State Role 19

Licensing And Regulation 19

Government Policy 20

Licensing Rounds 21

International Energy Relations 21

Oil And Gas Infrastructure 23

Oil Refineries 23
Table: Downstream Projects 23

Service Stations 25

Oil Storage Facilities 25

Oil Terminals/Ports 25

Oil Pipelines 25

Country Risk/Reward Ratings 27

Upstream Rating - Overview 27

Downstream Scores 27

Regional Risk/Reward Ratings 28
Table: Africa's Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings 29
Table: Africa's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings 31
Table: Proposed And Planned Refineries In Africa 34
Table: Africa's Downstream Risk/Reward Scores 35

Competitive Landscape 36

Executive Summary 36
Table: Key Players - Sudan Energy Sector 37
Table: Key Upstream Players 38
Table: Key Downstream Players 38

Company Monitor 39

CNPC Sudan 39

ONGC Sudan 41

Petronas Sudan 43

Sinopec - Summary 45

Star Petroleum - Summary 45

Petrodar - Summary 45

Total - Summary 45

Ascom - Summary 46

Emperor Oil - Summary 46

Regional Energy Market Outlook 47

Global Energy Market Outlook 52
Table: Global Oil Demand Forecasts - A Comparison 54

Africa - Regional Appendix 58
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 58
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 58
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 59
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 60
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 60
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 61
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 61
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 62
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 63
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 63

LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 64

LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 64

Methodology And Risks To Forecasts 65

Glossary Of Terms 66
Table: Glossary Of Terms 66

Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 68

Ratings Overview 68
Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings - Structure 69

Indicators 70
Table: BMI's Oil & Gas Upstream Ratings - Methodology 70

BMI Methodology 73

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 73

Energy Industry 73

Cross checks 74

Sources 74

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