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Ukraine Metals Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Ukraine Metals Report Q1 2013

  • Published: January 2013
  • Region: Ukraine
  • 52 pages
  • Business Monitor International

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BMI's Ukraine Metals Report for Q1 2013 examines recent trends in the Ukrainian steel and aluminium industries and examines how the domestic and external market outlooks will influence the rate of recovery in output over the next five years. The report considers how steelmakers are dealing with challenges to external competitiveness and weakening demand and analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the metals industry.

There is optimism that 2013 will witness stabilisation with the Ukrainian association of metal producers Metallurgprom forecasting monthly crude output of 2.76mn tonnes (mnt) in January 2013 and rolled steel production of 2.52mnt. Metallurgprom is forecasting crude output of 34.4mnt and rolled output of 31mnt. BMI believes this is overly optimistic given the external context, which is dominated by the eurozone crisis and European over-capacity. Ukraine has the added disadvantage of an over-valued hryvnia, which has made Ukrainian steel exports uncompetitive. Recent currency weakening may not be sufficient to ameliorate the situation. The most recent example of the ongoing decline in Ukrainian steelmaking is the READ MORE >

Executive Summary 5

SWOT Analysis 6

Ukraine Business Environment SWOT 6

Europe Metals Overview 7

Steel 8

Aluminium 11

Industry Forecast 13

Steel 13
Table: Ukraine - Steel Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise), 2009-2017 14
Table: Ukraine's Steel Industry Historical Data ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise), 2003-2010 15

Aluminium 15
Table: Ukraine - Primary Aluminium Production & Consumption (mn tonnes, unless stated otherwise), 2009-2017 16

Macroeconomic Outlook 17
Table: Ukraine - Economic Activity, 2011-2016 18

Commodities Forecast 19

Monthly Metals Update 19
Table: Select Commodities: Performance & BMI Forecasts 31

Steel Forecast 32

Steel To Average US$360/tonne In 2013: Short-Term View 32
Table: Steel Forecast 32
Table: Steel Forecasts 38

Competitive Landscape 39

Aluminium 39

Steel 40

Company Profiles 43

ArcelorMittal 43
Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data 46

RUSAL 47

Financial Data 50
Table: UC RUSAL - Financial Data, 2006-2011 50

BMI Methodology 51

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 51

Cross Checks 51

Company Profiles
Almasa Holdings
IBM
Hewlett-Packard
Microsoft Corporation
Oracle Corp

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