Venezuela Power Report Q1 2013
Business Monitor International, January 2013, Pages: 48
BMI View
Whilst the inclusion of new historic data has led to a significant revision of our estimates for 2011 as well as of our short-term forecasts, our relatively bearish view for Venezuela power sector remains unchanged on account of macroeconomic and sector-specific dynamics. Imbalances between supply and demand in Venezuela's National Electricity System (SEN) continue to plague the country's electricity market, with electricity shortages and power rationing also hindering its economic performance. In addition, following President Hugo Chávez's re-election in October 2012, BMI anticipates a continuation of his unorthodox policies, which will heighten economic imbalances and keep social tensions elevated in Venezuela.
In spite of repeated promises by the government, delays and problems with funding continue to represent an obstacle to capacity development and improvements to the transmission and distribution (T&D) system in Venezuela, effectively capping short-term potential:
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Power 8
Industry Forecast 10
Venezuela Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Venezuela Forecast Scenario 11
Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity 11
Table: Venezuela Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts 11
Table: Venezuela Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts 12
Table: Venezuela Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts 14
Table: Venezuela Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts 15
Electricity Consumption 21
Table: Venezuela Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts 21
Table: Venezuela Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts 21
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports 23
Table: Venezuela Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts 23
Table: Venezuela Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts 23
Table: Venezuela Trade Data And Forecasts 23
Table: Venezuela Trade Long-Term Forecasts 23
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 25
Latin America Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Table: Latin America Power Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Venezuela Power Risk/Reward Ratings 28
Rewards 29
Risks 29
Market Overview 31
Key Policies And Market Structure 31
Regulation and Competition 31
Venezuela Power Projects Database 32
Table: Venezuela Power Projects Database 32
Competitive Landscape 33
Corpoelec 33
Edelca 34
EDC 34
Regional Overview 35
Latin America Regional Overview 35
Glossary 41
Glossary of Terms 41
Table: Glossary of Terms 41
Methodology 42
Industry Forecasts 42
Power Industry - Data Methodology 43
Generation and Consumption Data 43
Electricity Generating Capacity Data 44
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 45
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 47
Sources 48
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