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Venezuela Power Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2390630
  • January 2013
  • Region: Venezuela
  • 48 pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI View

Whilst the inclusion of new historic data has led to a significant revision of our estimates for 2011 as well as of our short-term forecasts, our relatively bearish view for Venezuela power sector remains unchanged on account of macroeconomic and sector-specific dynamics. Imbalances between supply and demand in Venezuela's National Electricity System (SEN) continue to plague the country's electricity market, with electricity shortages and power rationing also hindering its economic performance. In addition, following President Hugo Chávez's re-election in October 2012, BMI anticipates a continuation of his unorthodox policies, which will heighten economic imbalances and keep social tensions elevated in Venezuela.

In spite of repeated promises by the government, delays and problems with funding continue to represent an obstacle to capacity development and improvements to the transmission and distribution (T&D) system in Venezuela, effectively capping short-term potential:

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BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 8

Power 8

Industry Forecast 10

Venezuela Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10

Venezuela Forecast Scenario 11

Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity 11
Table: Venezuela Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts 11
Table: Venezuela Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts 12
Table: Venezuela Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts 14
Table: Venezuela Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts 15

Electricity Consumption 21
Table: Venezuela Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts 21
Table: Venezuela Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts 21

Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports 23
Table: Venezuela Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts 23
Table: Venezuela Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts 23
Table: Venezuela Trade Data And Forecasts 23
Table: Venezuela Trade Long-Term Forecasts 23

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 25

Latin America Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Table: Latin America Power Risk/Reward Ratings 25

Venezuela Power Risk/Reward Ratings 28

Rewards 29

Risks 29

Market Overview 31

Key Policies And Market Structure 31

Regulation and Competition 31

Venezuela Power Projects Database 32
Table: Venezuela Power Projects Database 32

Competitive Landscape 33

Corpoelec 33

Edelca 34

EDC 34

Regional Overview 35

Latin America Regional Overview 35

Glossary 41

Glossary of Terms 41
Table: Glossary of Terms 41

Methodology 42

Industry Forecasts 42

Power Industry - Data Methodology 43

Generation and Consumption Data 43

Electricity Generating Capacity Data 44

Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 45
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 47

Sources 48

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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