South Korea Power Report Q1 2013
Business Monitor International, January 2013, Pages: 50
BMI View
Concerns surrounding the safety of nuclear power plants have been reignited as a result of uncertified parts found used in some of South Korea’s nuclear reactors. While we believe that the country is unlikely to shut more plants down, despite fervent protests, we believe that the government is likely to implement significant measures in the hope of regaining the public’s trust. Other plans include hastening the implementation of a smart grid that will also help the strained power suppliers meet the country’s growing consumption.
We forecast overall power generation in South Korea to grow an average of 3.59% per annum from 2012 to 2021, to reach 669 terawatt hours (TWh). While coal- and gas-fired generation continue to be vital, we expect most of this growth to come from nuclear generation. That said, we expect the country to continue adding thermal capacity to avoid further supply shortfalls, which it experienced in September 2011.
Moreover, the increased cautiousness at which the government provides approvals for the construction of nuclear generators could, in turn, result in greater thermal generation growth, particularly gas-fired plants.
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT Analysis 7
South Korea Power SWOT 7
Regional Industry Overview 8
Table: Vietnam's Power Development Roadmap 11
Industry Forecast Scenario 12
South Korea Snapshot (Macro) 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data 12
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 12
South Korea Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 12
Table: South Korea Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 12
Table: South Korea Total Electricity Generation Long Term Forecasts 2014 - 2021 15
Table: South Korea Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 17
Table: South Korea Electricity Generating Capacity Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 18
Electricity Consumption 22
Table: South Korea Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 22
Table: South Korea Total Electricity Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 22
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 24
Table: South Korea Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 24
Table: South Korea Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 24
Table: South Korea Trade Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 24
Table: South Korea Trade Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 24
Key Policies/Market Structure 26
Regulation And Competition 26
Sustainable Energy Policies 26
Pricing 28
Key Projects Database 29
Table: Key Projects 29
Power Risk Reward Ratings 32
Asia Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings 32
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Ratings 36
South Korea's Power Risk/Reward Ratings 36
Rewards 36
Risks 37
Competitive Landscape 38
Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kepco) 38
K-Power 39
GS Electric Power Services (GS EPS) 39
POSCO Power 39
Company Monitor 40
Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kepco) 40
Glossary Of Terms 43
Table: Glossary of Terms 43
Methodology And Sources 44
Industry Forecasts 44
Power Industry - Data Methodology 45
Generation and Consumption Data 45
Electricity Generation Capacity Data 46
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 46
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 48
Sources 49
Company Monitor
Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kepco)
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