Kenya Power Report Q1 2013
Business Monitor International, January 2013, Pages: 64
BMI View:
Kenya’s power sector continues to diversify its energy generation capability. Although hydropower generation remains vulnerable to drought and variations in rainfall, additional hydro facilities are being developed in order to reduce the country’s dependence on costly oil-fired capacity.
Over the longer term, non-hydrorenewables are to play a much bigger role in the country’s energy mix.
Most notably, we see geothermal as the favoured form of renewable energy, as its potential is considerable. Coal-based generating schemes are to provide electricity supply over the medium term.
BMI anticipates that Kenya’s overall power generation will grow by an annual average of 12.72%
between 2013 to 2017, to reach 14.92TWh. Driving this growth will be a 36.14% annual average increase in non-hydropower renewables. Thermal is also expected to increase by an annual average of 3.49%,
while hydropower power generation is expected to decline by an annual average of 2.50% respectively over the period. Oil-fired generation is expected to fall by an annual average of 17.54% as hydro increases in availability. We expect coal-fired power to become commercially available from 2015 and beyond.
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT Analysis 6
Kenya Power SWOT 6
Regional Industry Overview 7
Industry Forecast Scenario 13
Kenya Macroeconomic Snapshot 13
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data 13
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 13
Kenya Industry Forecasts 14
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 14
Table: Kenya Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 14
Table: Kenya Total Electricity Generation Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 16
Table: Kenya Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 18
Table: Kenya Electricity Generating Capacity Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 19
Electricity Consumption 24
Table: Kenya Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017 24
Table: Kenya Total Electricity Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021 24
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports 27
Table: Kenya Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts 27
Table: Kenya Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts 27
Table: Kenya Trade Data And Forecasts 27
Table: Kenya Trade Data And Forecasts 27
Key Policies/Market Structure 30
Table: SAPP Membership 33
Key Projects Database 36
Table: East Africa Key Projects 36
Regional Risk/Reward Ratings 41
MEA Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings 41
Table: MENA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 47
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 48
Kenya's Power Risk/Reward Ratings 49
Rewards 49
Risks 49
Competitive Landscape 50
Africa Power 50
Table: Main Utilities In East Africa 52
Table: Main Utilities In Southern Africa (ex South africa) 54
Glossary of Terms 56
Table: Glossary of Terms 56
Methodology And Sources 57
Industry Forecasts 57
Power Industry - Data Methodology 58
Generation and Consumption Data 58
Electricity Generation Capacity Data 59
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 59
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 61
Sources 63
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