Gabon Oil and Gas Report Q1 2013
Business Monitor International, February 2013, Pages: 72
BMI View
We estimate oil production in Gabon stayed relatively flat in 2012 at 247,000 barrels per day
(b/d) compared to 2011's 244,000b/d. Over the course of our forecast period, we expect production to continue trending downward to reach 234,000 b/d in 2016. Although a planned offshore licensing round and planned exploration hold upside risk to our forecasts. But without additional volumes from new discoveries, Gabon's oil production is set to decline as output falls from maturing fields. Efforts to develop the country's gas potential hold the prospect for further gains, as does a proposed new refinery that would allow the country to become a net exporter of refined products.
The main trends and developments we highlight for Gabon's oil & gas sector are as follows:
- BMI expects oil production to fall from 246,000 barrels per day (b/d) in 2012, to 234,000b/d in 2016, as fields mature.
- Planned deepwater exploration and a proposed regulatory overhaul in advance of the deepwater licensing round set for 2013, hold the largest upside risk to our forecasts. However, at this stage few new drilling campaigns have been announced so BMI has left its oil reserves forecasts unchanged.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Oil & Gas 8
Industry Forecast 10
Table: Gabon Proven Oil And Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data 2010-2015 10
Table: Gabon Proven Oil And Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data 2016-2021 11
Oil And Gas Reserves 12
Table: Gabon Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports 2010-2015 13
Table: Gabon Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports 2016-2021 14
Oil Supply And Demand 15
Table: Gabon Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports 2010-2015 18
Table: Gabon Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports 2016-2021 18
Gas Supply And Demand 19
Refining And Oil Products Trade 20
Table: Gabon Refining - Production and Consumption 2010-2016 20
Table: Gabon Refining - Production and Consumption 2016-2021 21
Revenues/Import Costs 22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 23
Gabon Risk Reward Ratings 23
Gabon Upstream 23
Gabon Downstream 23
Regional Risk Reward Ratings 24
Table: Africa's Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Table: Africa's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings 27
Table: Proposed And Planned Refineries In Africa 30
Table: Africa's Downstream Risk/Reward Scores 31
Market Overview 32
Gabon Energy Market Overview 32
Overview/State Role 35
Licensing And Regulation 35
Government Policy 35
Licensing Rounds 36
Table: Upstream Projects Database 38
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 38
Oil Refineries 38
Gas Facilities 39
Competitive Landscape 40
Table: Table: Key Players - Gabon Energy Sector 41
Company Profile 42
Addax Petroleum 42
Other Companies - Summary 44
Total Gabon 44
Shell Gabon 45
Maurel & Prom 45
Vaalco Energy 45
Perenco 46
Eni 47
Tullow Oil 47
Petrobras 47
Panoro 48
Harvest 48
Regional Overview 49
Global Industry Overview 54
Global Energy Market Overview 54
Table: Global Oil Demand Forecasts - A Comparison 57
Inflection point 57
New Frontiers In Production 58
Appendix 62
Africa - Regional Appendix 62
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 62
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 63
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 63
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 64
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 65
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 65
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 66
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 67
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 67
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 68
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 69
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 69
Glossary 70
Table: Glossary Of Terms 70
Methodology 72
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