Ukraine Oil and Gas Report Q1 2013
Business Monitor International, February 2013, Pages: 93
BMI View
Seemingly endless gas pricing disputes with Russia colour Ukraine's energy landscape, putting pressure on the country to maximise domestic production and diversify supply sources. Ukraine's vast shale gas potential could prove a long-term solution to its gas supply woes, as international oil companies (IOCs)
increase their interest in the country's shale resources. Russia continues to make overtures regarding ownership of Ukrainian gas infrastructure, but these have so far been rejected.
The main trends and developments we highlight for Ukraine's Oil and Gas sector are:
Ukraine is aiming to increase its natural gas production by as much as 25% over the next three years in order to wean itself off costly Russian imports. Prime Minister Mykola Azarov said in November 2012 that the country's shale gas output could reach 20-30bcm per year by 2020.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Oil And Gas Reserves 11
Table: Ukraine Proven Oil and Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2011-2017 11
Table: Ukraine Proven Oil and Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2017-2022 12
Oil Supply And Demand 15
Table: Ukraine Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2011-2016 15
Table: Ukraine Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2017-2022 16
Gas Supply And Demand 17
Table: Ukraine Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2011-2016 17
Table: Ukraine Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2017-2022 19
Refining And Oil Products Trade 22
Table: Ukraine Refining - Production and Consumption, 2011-2016 22
Table: Ukraine Refining - Production and Consumption, 2017-2022 22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 24
Regional Risk Reward Ratings 25
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Caspian Switch In Upstream Rankings 26
Table: Upstream Risk/Reward Rating 26
Russian Trouble Grows 28
Regional Minnows Breaking In 29
Downstream: Major Shuffle 30
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings 30
Market Overview 34
Energy Market Overview 34
Competitive Landscape 39
Table: Key Players - Ukraine Oil And Gas Sector 40
Table: Key Upstream Players 40
Table: Key Downstream Players 41
Company Profile 42
Naftogaz Ukrainy 42
TNK-BP 46
Lukoil Ukraine 49
JKX Oil & Gas 52
Galnaftogaz 55
Others Summary 57
Royal Dutch Shell - Summary 57
UkrTatNafta 57
Tatneft Summary 57
Regal Petroleum 57
Cadogan Petroleum Summary 58
Transeuro Energy Summary 58
Kulczyk Oil Summary 59
Advance Energy 59
Regional Overview 60
Regional Energy Overview 60
Loosening The Bear Hug 67
Central Asia: Beneficiaries Of Europe's Russian Fatigue 69
Looking To LNG 70
Russian Retaliation 71
Global Industry Overview 73
Global Energy Market Overview 73
Table: Global Oil Demand Forecasts - A Comparison 76
Inflection point 76
New Frontiers In Production 77
Appendix 81
Central and Eastern Europe - Regional Appendix 81
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 81
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 82
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 82
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 83
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 83
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 84
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 85
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 85
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 86
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 87
Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 87
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 88
Glossary 89
Table: Glossary Of Terms 89
Methodology 91
Energy Industry 92
Cross checks 92
Sources 93
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