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Iran Oil and Gas Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Iran Oil and Gas Report Q1 2013

  • Published: February 2013
  • Region: Iran
  • 93 pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI View

International sanctions remain in place, resulting in a sustained fall in oil export volumes and revenues. Due to significant obstacles for financing, due to both falling export revenues and sanctionsrelated challenges, investment the energy sector will remain strained. Indeed, gas export schemes and refinery expansion projects will make little progress as international oil company (IOC) partners heed the investment embargo, As such, the overall outlook will remain negative unless there is a breakthrough in Iran's negotiations with the international community over its nuclear programme. Meanwhile, Iran is claiming a succession of major oil and gas discoveries that, if proven, demonstrate considerable upside potential to its existing resource base.

We highlight the following trends and developments in Iran's oil and gas sector:

- BMI sees Iranian oil production declining significantly in 2012-13 as a result of international sanctions focused on preventing the Islamic Republic from selling its oil exports abroad. Indeed, we forecast more than a 20% fall in oil production from 2011 to 2012. Production will remain depressed over the course of 2013, only to READ MORE >

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Industry Forecast 10

Oil And Gas Reserves 10
Table: Iran Proven Oil and Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2010-2016 10
Table: Iran Proven Oil and Gas Reserves and Total Petroleum Data, 2015-2021 11

Oil Supply And Demand 12
Table: Iran Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2010-2015 12
Table: Iran Oil Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2015-2020 13

Gas Supply And Demand 15
Table: Iran Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2010-2016 15
Table: Iran Gas Production, Consumption and Net Exports, 2015-2021 16

Refining And Oil Products Trade 19
Table: Iran Refining - Production and Consumption, 2010-2016 19
Table: Iran Refining - Production and Consumption, 2015-2021 19

Revenues/Import Costs 20

Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario 20

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21

Iran - Overview 21

Iran Upstream Rating - Rewards 21

Iran Upstream Rating - Risks 21

Iran Downstream Rating - Overview 21

Regional O&G Risk Reward/Ratings 21
Table: Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings 23
Table: Middle East Downstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings 26
Table: Middle East Upstream Oil & Gas Risk/Rewards Ratings 27

Market Overview 29

Iran Energy Market Overview 29

Overview/State Role 29

Licensing And Regulation 29

Government Policy 30

International Energy Relations 31
Table: Key Upstream Operators - Iran Oil And Gas Sector 39
Table: Key Downstream Operators - Iran Energy Sector 39

Oil and Gas Infrastructure 40

Oil Refineries 40
Table: Refineries In Iran 40

Service Stations 43

Oil Storage Facilities 43

Oil Terminals/Ports 43

Oil Pipelines 44

LNG Terminals 45

Gas Pipelines 45

Gas Storage 51

Competitive Landscape 53
Table: Key Players - Iranian Oil And Gas Sector 53

Company Profile 54

National Iranian Oil Company 54

National Iranian Oil and Refining Distribution Company 58

Eni 61

Total Iran 62

Shell Development Iran 63

China National Petroleum Corporation 64

ONGC Videsh 66

Other Companies - Summary 68

Regional Overview 69

Regional Energy Market Overview 69

Global Industry Overview 74

Global Energy Market Overview 74
Table: Global Oil Demand Forecasts - A Comparison 77

Inflection point 77

New Frontiers In Production 78

Appendix 82

Regional Appendix 82
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 82
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 82
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 83
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 84
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 ('000b/d) 84
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 ('000b/d) 85
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 85
Table: Gas Consumption, 2014-2021 (bcm) 86
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 86
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 87
Table: Net LNG Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009-2016 (bcm) 87
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021 (bcm) 88

Glossary 89
Table: Glossary Of Terms 89

Methodology 91

Energy Industry 92

Cross checks 92

Sources 93

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