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Canada Power Report Q1 2013 - Product Image

Canada Power Report Q1 2013

  • ID: 2424671
  • February 2013
  • Region: Canada
  • 58 pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI View

On the back of a revision to our historical data set, and accounting for the fact that external headwinds and a slowdown in domestic consumption continue to weight on Canada's economic performance, we have slightly downgraded our 2012 consumption growth estimate for the Canadian power market, from 0.91% to 0.82%. Owing to a combination of economic, demographic and industry-specific dynamic, we also anticipate that the country's mature electricity market will see a positive but moderate rise in generation and consumption in the medium to long term. The replacement of old and polluting capacity will be amongst the key drivers of this growth.

Canada enjoys the advantage of a diverse and balanced electricity mix, thanks to its abundant indigenous resources. Yet, and despite Canada's decision to withdraw from the Kyoto Protocol, environmental concerns are likely to weigh heavily upon the country's energy agenda. Hence, in a picture similar to the one of its Southern neighbour, we anticipate that planned shifts in the share of various fuels will be among the key drivers of new investment in the power sector:

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 8

Power 8

Industry Forecast 10

Canada Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10

Canada Forecast Scenario 11

Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity 11
Table: Canada Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 11
Table: Canada Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2021 13
Table: Canada Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 15
Table: Canada Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts 16
Table: Canada's Operating Nuclear Power Reactors 21
Table: Planned and Proposed Canadian Nuclear Power Reactors 21

Electricity Consumption 23
Table: Canada Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 23
Table: Canada Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2021 24

Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports 25
Table: Canada Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 25
Table: Canada Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts 25
Table: Canada Trade Data And Forecasts, 2011-2016 25
Table: Canada Trade Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2021 25

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 27

Developed States Power Risk/Reward Ratings 27
Table: Developed States Power Risk/Reward Ratings 32

Canada Power Risk/Reward Ratings 33

Risks 33

Risks 34

Market Overview 35

Key Policies And Market Structure 35

Regulation and Competition 35
Table: Canadian Power Industry - Structural Models 36
Table: Canadian Power Industry - Regulation 36

Sustainable Energy Policies 37

Pricing 38

Canada Power Projects Database 39
Table: Canada Power Projects Database 39

Competitive Landscape 43

BC Hydro 43

EPCOR 43

Hydro One 44

Maritime Electric 44

Ontario Power 44

Newfoundland Power 45

Nova Scotia Power 45

SaskPower 45

Enmax 45

Energie NB Power 46

ATCO 46

Regional Overview 47

Developed States Industry Overview 47
Table: Real GDP Growth (%) 47

Glossary 51

Glossary of Terms 51
Table: Glossary of Terms 51

Methodology 52

Industry Forecasts 52

Power Industry - Data Methodology 53

Generation and Consumption Data 53

Electricity Generating Capacity Data 54

Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 55
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 57

Sources 58

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