Nigeria Power Report Q1 2013
Business Monitor International, February 2013, Pages: 57
BMI View
Plenty of work is necessary if Nigeria is to extend market coverage and boost capacity, which is needed in order to ensure that power shortages become a thing of the past. There are numerous opportunities in renewables, but investment prospects remain poor. The promise of nuclear over the long term is likely to go unfulfilled, so Nigeria will likely remain over-dependent on oil, gas and hydro resources.
Privatisation and regulatory reform appears to be making progress, which should help boost capacity.
The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) announced in December 2012 that the country's power generation capacity had increased to 4,350 megawatts (MW), slightly short of the 4,500MW target that the agency had announced in September, but nevertheless representing a record high. The NERC maintains that the government is capable of attaining 7,000MW of capacity by December 2013.
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Power 8
Industry Forecast 9
Nigeria Snapshot 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 9
Nigeria Forecast Scenario 10
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 10
Table: Nigeria Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017 10
Table: Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2021 11
Table: Nigeria Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017 13
Table: Nigeria Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2021 14
Electricity Consumption 20
Table: Nigeria Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2012 2017 20
Table: Nigeria Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2021 21
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports 21
Table: Nigeria Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017 21
Table: Nigeria Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2017-2021 22
Table: Nigeria Trade Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017 22
Table: Nigeria Long-Term Trade Forecasts, 2016-2021 22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 24
MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings 24
Table: MENA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 30
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 31
Nigeria Power Risk/Reward Ratings 32
Rewards 32
Risks 32
Market Overview 33
Key Policies/Market Structure 33
Regulation And Competition 33
Table: List Of IPPs In Nigeria 36
Nigeria Power Projects Database 37
Table: Nigeria Power Projects Database 37
Competitive Landscape 39
Regional Overview 43
MEA Industry Overview 43
Glossary 50
Glossary of Terms 50
Table: Glossary of Terms 50
Methodology 51
Industry Forecasts 51
Power Industry - Data Methodology 52
Generation and Consumption Data 52
Electricity Generating Capacity Data 53
Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 54
Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators 56
Sources 57
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