Cambodia and Laos Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q1 2013
Business Monitor International, February 2013, Pages: 104
BMI View
The Cambodian and Laotian telecoms markets are similar in several ways. Both countries have a relatively well-developed mobile sector, although prepaid subscriptions are the norm, resulting in low ARPU levels. Their fixed-line industries are still expected to experience growth at least until 2016 but mobile substitution is becoming an increasing threat, especially when operators step up their rural expansion plans. The mobile-over-fixed scenario is also likely to play out in the broadband segment,
considering the lower cost associated with mobile broadband products and services.
Key Data
- Forecast scenarios for Cambodia and Laos have been extended to 2017. In light of a lack of new data,
most of our expectations before 2017 have remained unchanged.
- We continue to expect prepaid subscriptions to drive mobile penetration rates in Cambodia and Laos to 185% and 166% respectively in 2013, although further SIM registrations pose a downside risk to our forecasts.
- We envisage demand for fixed broadband services remaining low in spite of high ownership cost and poor network coverage. We forecast Cambodia and Laos to each have a penetration rate of less than 5%
by end-2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT Analysis 9
Mobile 9
Wireline 11
Industry Forecast 13
Cambodia 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts 13
Laos 18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts 18
Industry Business Environment Overview 25
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Ratings Q113 30
Cambodia And Laos 31
Cambodia 31
Laos 32
Market Overview 33
Cambodia 33
Regional Perspective 33
Table: Cambodia Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2011 34
Key Developments 34
Mobile Market Growth 35
Mobile Market Shares 36
Table: Cambodia Mobile Market By Operator ('000) 37
Cambodia Mobile ARPU 38
Table: Sotelco Mobile ARPU (US$), 2009-2012 38
Mobile Content 38
Table: VAS Services 39
Fixed-Line Market Growth 40
Broadband 43
Laos 46
Regional Perspective 46
Table: Laos Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2011 47
Key Developments 47
Mobile Market Growth 48
Table: Mobile Market Growth ('000) 48
Mobile Market Shares 48
Table: Lao Telecommunications Subscriber Mix 49
Mobile Content 50
Fixed-Line 51
Broadband 53
Table: Laos Internet Market By Service 53
Mobile Regional Content 55
Table: Selected NFC Developments, 2011 58
Industry Trends And Developments 63
Cambodia 63
Laos 66
Key Market Developments 67
Table: Telecoms Market Developments 70
Regulatory Development 73
Cambodia 73
Laos 74
Competitive Landscape 75
Table: Key Players - Cambodia Telecoms Sector 75
Table: Key Players - Laos Telecoms Sector 75
Company Profiles 76
Telecom Cambodia 76
Mobitel 80
Lao Telecommunications 83
Regional Overview 86
Nokia Siemens Networks 86
Financial Performance 86
Table: Vendor Revenues (US$mn) 86
Restructuring Efforts 87
Geographical Breakdown 87
Table: Net Sales By Geography (EURmn) 87
Asia Pacific Is The Place To Be 88
Table: NSN Selected Asia Activities 89
Demographic Forecast 92
Demographic Forecast - Cambodia 92
Table: Cambodia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 93
Table: Cambodia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 94
Table: Cambodia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 95
Table: Cambodia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 95
Demographic Forecast - Laos 95
Table: Laos' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 96
Table: Laos' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 97
Table: Laos' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 98
Table: Laos' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 98
Glossary 99
Table: Glossary Of Terms 99
Methodology 101
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts 101
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings 102
Table: Ratings Indicators 103
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 104
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