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Iran Defence and Security Report Q4 2014

  • ID: 2931624
  • August 2014
  • Region: Iran
  • 98 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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  • Sukhoi
  • Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant
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BMI View: We think that the country's nuclear activities will remain a point of contention with the international community for the years to come, and if a comprehensive deal is not signed now, we anticipate an escalation of tensions to unprecedented levels. Hard-line elements within the regime could be given new breeding grounds and Iran will return to producing medium enriched uranium. The U.S. Congress will adopt additional sanctions legislation that seeks to cut Iran completely off the from international oil markets.

The current crisis in Iraq has provided Iran with an advantage to fill the security vacuum left after the U.S.

withdrawal. At the same time, it has worsened Iran's security within the region. Given Iran's catastrophic economic situation, it does not have the means, without placing itself in a position of military overstretch to prop up both Bashar al Assad's regime in Syria and the Shiite led government in Iraq. Hence, Iran will have to choose and it will choose Iraq given the deep ties between the two countries and Iraq's proximity to Iran's borders. For Iran, the US, and Saudi Arabia, the Islamic State (IS) is a common enemy, which provides an opportunity for regional cooperation. Further, neither Iran nor the US want the Kurd's to gain independence;
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  • Sukhoi
  • Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant
  • MORE

BMI Industry View 7


Iran Security SWOT 9

Iran Defence & Security SWOT 12

Political 14

Economic 15

Business Environment 16

Industry Forecast 17

Defence Expenditure 17
Table: Defence Expenditure (2011_2018) 19

Armed Forces 20
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Iran 2004-2011) 21
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Iran 2011-2018) 21

Defence Sector Production 22

Exports 22

Imports 22

Macroeconomic Forecasts 23
Table: Iran - Economic Activity 27

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 28

Middle East And Africa Security Risk Ratings 28
Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Ratings 29
Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 30

Iran Security Risk Ratings 31

Market Overview 32

Iran Defence Market Overview 32

Armed Forces And Government Spending 32

Industry Trends & Developments 45

Chemical, Biological & Nuclear 46

Arms Trade Overview 49

Iran Security Overview 53

Domestic Threats 53

Regional Threats 54

International Threats 55

Company Profile 57

China Great Wall Industry Corporation 57

Sukhoi 60

Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant 62

Aerospace Industries Organization 64

Ammunition & Metallurgy Industries Group 67

Defence Industries Organization 69

Iran Electronics Industries 72

Regional Overview 74

Middle East And North Africa Security Overview 74

Global Industry Overview 90

Political Risk Analysis 90

Methodology 95

Industry Forecast Methodology 95

Sector-Specific Methodology 96

Sources 97

Security Risk Ratings Methodology 97
Table: Indicators And Weighting 98

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China Great Wall Industry Corporation
Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant
Aerospace Industries Organization
Ammunition & Metallurgy Industries Group
Defence Industries Organization
Iran Electronics Industries

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown