South Africa Defence and Security Report Q4 2014

  • ID: 2937435
  • September 2014
  • Region: Africa, South Africa
  • 85 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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  • Aerosud
  • Denel
  • Reutech
  • Saab Grintek Defence
  • Thales South Africa
  • MORE

We expect the South African defence budget to reach USD3.6bn in 2014. For the remainder of the forecast period, up to and including 2018, we expect the defence budget to rise, with the country spending on average USD5.3bn on defence annually. The final year of the forecast period (2018) will see defence spending reach USD6.8bn.

Between 2001 and 2011, the SANDF has comprised an average of 68,400 personnel. The numerical size of the armed forces has fluctuated widely between the 55,000 personnel they possessed in 2004 to the personnel strength of 103,000 recorded in 2006.

We have given South Africa an overall security risk rating of 75 for Q414. We believe that the country has a very low risk of becoming involved in a major international conflict. Secondly, the country is considered very unlikely to experience a major terrorist attack. However, the same cannot be said regarding crime with the country maintaining a significantly high crime rate.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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  • Aerosud
  • Denel
  • Reutech
  • Saab Grintek Defence
  • Thales South Africa
  • MORE

BMI Industry View 7


South Africa Defence SWOT 8

South Africa Security SWOT 10

Political 12

Economic 13

Business Environment 14

Industry Forecast 15

Defence Expenditure 15
Table: Defence Expenditure (South Africa 2011-2018) 16
Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP (South Africa 2011-2018) 17

Armed Forces 18
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (South Africa 2004-2011) 18
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (South Africa 2011-2018) 19

Defence Trade 19

Macroeconomic Forecasts 20

Expenditure Breakdown 20

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 23

Middle East And Africa Security Risk Ratings 23
Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Ratings 24
Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 25

South Africa Security Risk Ratings 26

Market Overview 27

South Africa Defence Market Overview 27

Armed Forces and Government Spending 27

Industry Trends and Developments 36

Weapons of Mass Destruction 37

Domestic Defence Industry 37

Exports 38

Imports 38

South Africa Security Overview 39

Domestic Threats 39

Regional Threats 43
Table: US Combat Operations In Africa 48

International Threats 48

Company Profile 49

Aerosud 49

BAE Systems Land Systems South Africa 51

Denel 53

Saab Grintek Defence 56

Reutech 58

Thales South Africa 60

Regional Overview 62

Middle East And North Africa Security Overview 62

Global Industry Overview 77

Political Risk Analysis 77

Methodology 82

Industry Forecast Methodology 82

Sector-Specific Methodology 83

Sources 84

Security Risk Ratings Methodology 84
Table: Indicators And Weighting 85

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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BAE Systems Land Systems South Africa
Saab Grintek Defence
Thales South Africa

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
4 of 4
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown


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