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Egypt Metals Report Q1 2015

  • ID: 3025763
  • October 2014
  • Region: Egypt
  • 44 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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BMI View: We forecast modest growth in the Egyptian steel sector over the coming years, in line with our outlook for the wider economy. We expect the political situation to continue to show exhibit greater stability over the coming quarters and for stabilisation in the Egyptian pound.

We remain positive about the effects of Egypt's transition towards a democratic government, as investors will begin to look more favourably towards the country as a potential market to work with. We have seen these positive effects on the country are already beginning to show. For 2014, we forecast steady Egyptian steel production growth on the back of greater investment in expanding production capacity and more stability in the country following the 2013 ouster of the Muslim Brotherhood, as well as greater investment pouring in from Gulf countries looking diversify their regional portfolios.

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BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Metals SWOT 9

Industry Forecast 11

Steel: Need For Imports To Fill The Deficit 11
Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Egypt 2010-2018) 14
Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Egypt 2005-2012) 14
Table: Egypt - Steel Production Historical Data ('000 tonnes, unless stated) 15

Regulatory Development 16

Tax Regime 16

Corruption: A Key Concern 16
Table: Egypt - Political Overview 17

Commodities Forecast 19

Commodity Strategy 19

Ferrous Metals 20

Non-Ferrous Metals: 23

Aluminium: Prices To Remain Elevated Following Recent Dip 23

Copper: Chinese Weakness To Create Further Headwinds 24

Nickel: No Sustained Rally Ahead 26

Zinc: Subdued Short-Term Outlook Before Multi-Year Gains 29
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 30

Steel: Prices To Head Higher From 2016 31
Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast 31

Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months) 31

Long-Term Outlook 32

Production: Chinese Rationalisation Measures To Bite 33

Consumption: Slowing Demand Growth On The Horizon 34

Burgeoning Chinese Exports Will Not Last 35

Eurozone Growth Downgrade Highlights Long Road To Recovery 36

Risks To Price Forecast 36
Table: Steel Data & Forecasts 37

Competitive Landscape 38
Table: Ezz Steel Facilities 38
Table: MENA - Largest Metal Companies 40

Company Profile 41

Ezz Steel 41
Table: Ezz Steel - Financial Data 43

Methodology 44

Cross Checks 44

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