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Australia - Mobile Subscribers, Revenues and Forecasts

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    Report

  • 54 Pages
  • March 2019
  • Region: Australia
  • Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd
  • ID: 303268
In common with most mature markets, in Australia there are significantly more subscribers to mobile services than there are people. Australia's mobile market is now highly mature and developed with slow annual subscriber growth rates since 2013. Mobile penetration is now well over 100%.

Growth is being driven by population increases as well as a rise in the number of people using two or mobile subscriptions commonly one is for personal use and another for business use.

Very slow growth is predicted over the next five years to 2023 with penetration rates predicted to rise only slightly above projected population increase.

Revenue for mobile operators in recent years has been characterised by the continuing take up of services based on LTE technology, and to the rising proportion of mobile data to overall revenue.

By 2018, competition among operators is having a braking effect on ARPU however ARPU growth from mobile data services going forward is offsetting declines in voice ARPU. Pricing competition and market saturation is eroding voice revenue, while the continued substitution of cheaper OTT services for mobile SMS messages and the SMS is also eroding SMS revenue.

For all operators, price competition combined with a focus on managing their mobile businesses as they adapt to new technologies being brought into play, have led to considerable pressure in recent years.

All three Australian mobile operators are now investing billions of dollars in their networks annually, with a view to securing new customers and retaining existing ones. Increasingly, consumers are looking to mobile communications for their broadband needs.

Key Developments:

Competition among operators is having a braking effect on ARPU.

Very slow mobile subscriber growth is predicted over the next five years to 2023.

All three Australian mobile operators are now investing billions of dollars in their networks annually.

Companies mentioned in this report include:

SingTel, Vodafone, 3, VHA, Optus, Telstra.

Table of Contents

1 Mobile subscriber statistics
1.1 Total mobile subscribers and market forecast
1.2 Mobile operator subscriber market shares and growth
1.3 Prepaid and postpaid subscribers by operator
1.4 2G, 3G and 4G subscribers
1.5 Wholesale market
1.6 International comparisons
2 Mobile services revenues, forecast and market analysis
3 Operator revenue statistics overview
3.1 Revenue by major operator
3.2 Revenue market share and trends by operator
3.3 Revenue trends by service
4 Average revenue per user (ARPU)
4.1 Overview of ARPU
4.2 Blended ARPU
4.3 Prepaid and postpaid ARPU
5 Related reports
List of Tables
Table 1 Mobile subscribers, penetration and annual change (with forecast) 2000 2023
Table 2 Mobile subscribers (millions) by MNO (with forecast) 2009 2020
Table 3 Annual change of mobile subscribers by MNO 2010 2020
Table 4 Market share of mobile subscribers by MNO (with forecast) 2010 2020
Table 5 Historic - Annual change of mobile subscribers by carrier 1995; 1997; 2000 2009
Table 6 Historic - Retail mobile subscriber market share by MNO and MVNO 2015 2016
Table 7 MNO prepaid subscribers (millions) by operator 2009 2018
Table 8 MNO market share of prepaid subscribers 2009 2018
Table 9 MNO postpaid subscribers (millions) by operator 2009 2018
Table 10 MNO market share of postpaid subscribers 2009 2018
Table 11 MNO total market of prepaid and postpaid subscribers (millions) 2009 2018
Table 12 MNO total market proportion of prepaid and postpaid subscribers 2009 2018
Table 13 Prepaid as % of Total Subscribers by operator - 2009 2018
Table 14 Postpaid as % of Total Subscribers by operator - 2009 2018
Table 15 Historic - Share of postpaid subscribers by MNO and MVNO 2014 2015
Table 16 Historic Share of prepaid subscribers by MNO and MVNO 2014 2015
Table 17 Historic - 3G mobile subscribers by carrier 2003 2011
Table 18 Historic - Annual change of 3G mobile subscribers by carrier 2007 2011
Table 19 Historic - Proportion of 3G mobile subscribers versus total subscribers by carrier 2006 2011
Table 20 Historic - 2G mobile subscribers by carrier 2006 2011
Table 21 Historic - Annual change of 2G mobile subscribers by carrier 2006 2011
Table 22 Telstra wholesale subscribers 2007 2018
Table 23 Vodafone wholesale (MVNO) subscribers 2014 2016
Table 24 Total mobile services market revenue and annual change (with forecast) 2005 2020
Table 25 Historic - Total mobile services market revenue and annual change 1993 2009
Table 26 Mobile market revenue per major operator 2009 2018
Table 27 Mobile market revenue market share per major operator 2009 2018
Table 28 Annual change of mobile market revenue per major operator 2005 2018
Table 29 Historic - Mobile market revenue per major operator 1993 2004
Table 30 Historic - Annual change of mobile market revenue per major operator 1994; 1997; 2000 2004
Table 31 Total telecoms revenues by major providers 2005 2014
Table 32 Mobile market share in revenue per major operator 2000 2018
Table 33 Telstra mobile broadband revenue 2009 2018
Table 34 Blended monthly ARPU by MNO 2000 2017
Table 35 Telstra mobile ARPU - prepaid, postpaid, mobile broadband 2004 2018
Table 36 Optus mobile subscriber - Monthly ARPU 2009 2018
Table 37 VHA Monthly ARPU 2015- 2018
List of Charts
Chart 1 Mobile subscribers and penetration (with forecast) 2007 2023
Chart 2 Market share of mobile subscribers by MNO (with forecast) 2009 2020
Chart 3 MNO market share of prepaid subscribers 2009 2018
Chart 4 MNO market share of postpaid subscribers 2009 2018
Chart 5 Total mobile services market revenue and annual change (with forecast) 2010 2020
Chart 6 Overview of mobile revenue share per major operator 2010 2018

Companies Mentioned

  • SingTel
  • Vodafone
  • 3
  • VHA
  • Optus
  • Telstra.