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Yogurts in the United States


Description:
Yogurt is a $2.8 billion market that experienced 7.8% growth in 2003, indicating that this is a category that still has room to grow. While yogurt itself as a product has been on the shelves for many years, it was only in the past few years that manufacturers began making a concerted effort to directly target certain groups of consumers, beginning with children and their need for healthy, portable snacks. From 2001 to the present, yogurt has also evolved into a meal or snack for adults that is not necessarily relegated to “diet food” status, and is being positioned instead for its significant health benefits.

While the low carb craze has the potential of having an adverse impact on yogurt sales, manufacturers are combating this by developing low carb offerings, though continuing to maintain their usual roster of products. In addition, because the carbs in yogurt are naturally occurring due to lactose milk sugars, these carbs are considered by many to not have the same kind of negative impact as complex carbohydrates from pasta and bread, for example (the “good carb/bad carb” debate).

Overall, the market for yogurt is expected to continue growing, particularly as manufacturers expand beyond their typical target market and look for niches within those segments, for instance, catering to women with particular supplement needs or the elderly. New products, flavors, and formulations will lead the charge for growth in the yogurt market.

Mintel’s report on yogurt market covers trends, market drivers, the supply structure, and distribution, as well as providing a detailed breakdown of consumer habits. A five-year market forecast helps you plan for the future of the yogurt market.

Definition
The following products are included in this report:

Spoonable yogurt (e.g. Yoplait, Dannon)
Squeezable yogurt or yogurt in a tube (e.g. Go-GURT, Yo-Squeeze)
Goat and sheep yogurt, as well as non-dairy yogurt (yogurt-type products derived from soy milk)
Excluded from this report are frozen and drinkable yogurt products. These products are analyzed in Yogurt Drinks—U.S., consumer intelligence, April 2004, Smoothies—U.S., consumer intelligence, February 2004, and Ice Cream—U.S., consumer intelligence, August 2003.

Sales of yogurt at foodservice, restaurants, fast food establishments, and vending machines are also excluded.

This report contains US IRI InfoScan data.


Contents:

Introduction and Abbreviations
Introduction
IRI Data
Overview
Other relevant reports
Definition
Abbreviations and terms
Abbreviations
Terms
Executive Summary

A market with room for growth
Yogurt as both health food and indulgence
Steady growth from 1998-2003
Yogurt for adults widening its net
Dominant players have no foreseeable threats
Avenues for promoting yogurt
Getting yogurt to the consumer
Industry still focuses mainly on dieting women and children
What the future has in store for yogurt
Market Drivers

Targeting women and children
Women
Figure 1: Female population projections, by age, 1998-2008
Children
Figure 2: Population aged 0-19, by age group, 2000-10
Health benefits—importance of calcium
Diet trends
Figure 3: Incidence of overweight and obese Americans aged 18+, 1994-2002
Convenience, snacking, and indulgence
Increasing health awareness
Yogurt vs. competing products
Market Size & Trends

Figure 4: Total U.S. retail sales of yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Graph 1: Total U.S. retail sales of yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Graph 1: Total U.S. retail sales of yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Estimated Wal-Mart yogurt sales
Market Segmentation

Overview
Figure 5: Sales of yogurt, segmented by type, 2001 and 2003
Graph 2: Market share of yogurt segments, 1998-2003
Graph 2: Market share of yogurt segments, 1998-2003
Regular and other yogurt
Figure 6: Sales of regular/other yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Light, low-fat, and fat-free yogurt
Figure 7: Sales of light/low-fat yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Dessert yogurt
Figure 8: Sales of dessert yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Kids’ yogurt
Figure 9: Sales of kids’ yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1998-2003
Supply Structure

FOREIGN TRADE
Imports
Figure 10: Total U.S. yogurt imports*, 1999-2003
Exports
Figure 11: Total U.S. yogurt exports*, 1999-2003
COMPANIES AND BRANDS
Figure 12: Manufacturer sales of yogurt in the U.S., 2001 & 2003
Graph 3: Market share of leading manufacturers of yogurt in the U.S., 2003*
Graph 3: Market share of leading manufacturers of yogurt in the U.S., 2003*
Figure 13: Manufacturer brand sales of yogurt in the U.S., 2001 and 2003
Manufacturer profiles
General Mills, Inc. (Yoplait, Colombo)
Kraft Foods, Inc. (Breyers Yogurt)
The Dannon Company, Inc.
Marigold (Kemp’s Dairy)
Stonyfield Farm
Advertising & Promotion

Dannon
General Mills (Yoplait)
Stonyfield Farm
Retail Distribution

Introduction
Figure 14: U.S. retail sales of yogurt, by channel, 2001 and 2003
Supermarket operating data
Figure 15: Top supermarket operating statistics, latest fiscal year-end
Figure 16: Percentage change from latest fiscal year-end versus year prior
The Consumer

Introduction
Incidence of yogurt consumption
Figure 17: Incidence of yogurt consumption, April 2004
Figure 18: Incidence of yogurt consumption, by gender, April 2004
Figure 19: Incidence of yogurt consumption, by age, April 2004
Figure 20: Incidence of yogurt consumption, by household income, April 2004
Figure 21: Incidence of yogurt consumption, by presence of children in the household, April 2004
Frequency of yogurt consumption
Figure 22: Frequency of yogurt consumption, April 2004
Figure 23: Frequency of yogurt consumption, by gender, April 2004
Figure 24: Frequency of yogurt consumption, by age, April 2004
Occasions for eating yogurt
Figure 25: Incidence of eating yogurt at breakfast, April 2004
Figure 26: Incidence of eating yogurt at lunch, April 2004
Figure 27: Incidence of eating yogurt at dinner, April 2004
Figure 28: Incidence of eating yogurt for a snack, April 2004
Graph 4: Incidence of eating yogurt for breakfast, lunch, dinner, or a snack, April 2004
Graph 4: Incidence of eating yogurt for breakfast, lunch, dinner, or a snack, April 2004
Perceived nutrition value of yogurt relative to competing products
Figure 29: Perceived nutrition value of yogurt relative to competitor products, April 2004
Figure 30: Perceived nutrition value of yogurt relative to competitor products, by gender, April 2004
Figure 31: Perceived nutrition value of yogurt relative to competitor products, by age, April 2004
Figure 32: Perceived nutrition value of yogurt relative to competitor products, by household income, April 2004
Main factors influencing purchase of yogurt
Figure 33: Main purchase factors for yogurt, April 2004
Figure 34: Main purchase factors for yogurt, by gender, April 2004
Figure 35: Main purchase factors for yogurt, by age, April 2004
Figure 36: Main purchase factors for yogurt, by household income, April 2004
Figure 37: Main purchase factors for yogurt, by region, April 2004
Summary
Future & Forecast

Future Trends
Manufacturers will explore other segments
Low carb products proliferate, but will likely merge with low calorie
More formulations, more healthful additives
Prebiotics and probiotics
Market Forecast
Total Yogurt
Figure 38: Forecast of total U.S. retail sales of yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Graph 5: Total U.S. retail sales of yogurt, 1998-2003, and forecast for 2004-2008
Graph 5: Total U.S. retail sales of yogurt, 1998-2003, and forecast for 2004-2008
Regular/other yogurt
Figure 39: Forecast of U.S. retail sales of regular/other yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Light, low-fat, and fat-free yogurt
Figure 40: Forecast of U.S. retail sales of light/low-fat yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Dessert yogurt
Figure 41: Forecast of U.S. retail sales of dessert yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Kids’ yogurt
Figure 42: Forecast of U.S. retail sales of kids’ yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2003-2008
Forecast Factors
Executive Summary: Key Changes
A $2.4-billion market in 2004
Yogurt for adults widening its net
Dominant players have no foreseeable threats
Avenues for promoting yogurt
Getting yogurt to the consumer
Yogurt: consumers and cross-promotion
What the future has in store for yogurt
Market Drivers – Update

Health benefits—importance of calcium
Diet trends
Yogurt vs. competing products
Market Size & Trends – Update
Figure 43: Total U.S. retail sales of yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004*
Figure 44: Total U.S. retail sales of yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004*
Estimated Wal-Mart yogurt sales
Market Segmentation – Update
Overview
Figure 45: Sales of yogurt, segmented by type, 2002 and 2004*
Figure 46: Market share of yogurt segments, 1999-2004*
Regular and other yogurt
Figure 47: Sales of regular/other yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004*
Impact of IRI adjustments
Light, low-fat, and fat-free yogurt
Figure 48: Sales of light/low-fat yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004*
Impact of IRI adjustments
Dessert yogurt
Figure 49: Sales of dessert yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004*
Impact of IRI adjustments
Kids’ yogurt
Figure 50: Sales of kids’ yogurt, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004*
Impact of IRI adjustments
Supply Structure – Update

COMPANIES AND BRANDS
Figure 51: Manufacturer sales of yogurt in the U.S., 2002 & 2004*
Figure 52: Market share of leading manufacturers of yogurt in the U.S., 2004*
Figure 53: Manufacturer brand sales of yogurt in the U.S., 2002 and 2004*
Manufacturer profiles
General Mills, Inc. (Yoplait, Colombo)
Kraft Foods, Inc. (Breyers Yogurt)
The Dannon Company, Inc.
Stonyfield Farm
Advertising & Promotion – Update

Dannon
General Mills (Yoplait)
Kemps LLC
Stonyfield Farm
Retail Distribution – Update
Figure 54: U.S. retail sales of yogurt, by channel, 2002 and 2004*
The Consumer – New Findings

Introduction
Figure 55: Cohort descriptors for key yogurt product correlation groups
Regular yogurt
Product correlations
Figure 56: Strong product correlations for regular yogurt, May 2003 - April 2004
Cohort groups
Promotional opportunities
Light, sugar-free, low-fat and non-fat yogurt
Product correlations
Figure 57: Strong product correlations for light, sugar-free, low- and non-fat yogurt, May 2003 - April 2004
Cohort groups
Promotional opportunities
Future & Forecast – Update
Market Forecast
Yogurt
Figure 58: Forecast of U.S. sales of yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Regular/other yogurt
Figure 59: Forecast of U.S. sales of regular/other yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Light/low-fat yogurt
Figure 60: Forecast of U.S. sales of light/low-fat yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Dessert yogurt
Figure 61: Forecast of U.S. sales of dessert yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Kids’ yogurt
Figure 62: Forecast of U.S. sales of kids’ yogurt, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Forecast Factors
Appendix: Trade Associations

Appendix: New Product Developments

CATEGORY REVIEW
Figure 63: New product introductions of yogurt, 2001-2004
Bacteria isn’t bad Jan-2004
New product introductions in the dairy category – 2003
Yogurt makers want FDA to demand culture Nov-2003
Drinking your meal Oct-2003
New Product Briefs
Kroger: Low Fat Whipped Yogurt
Yoplait: Thick & Creamy Yogurt
Yoplait: Go-Gurt Repackaging
Stonyfield Farm: Low Fat Yogurt Squeezers
Horizon Organic: Horizon Organic Low Fat Yogurt Reformulation
Horizon Organic: Fat Free Vanilla Organic Yogurt
Yoplait: Grande! Large Size Yogurt
Yoplait: Go-Gurt Shrek Portable Yogurt Flavor Extensions
Yoplait: Yoplait Original Value Size Packaging
Simmons Cohorts
Figure 23: Cohort descriptors, all groups
Appendix: Research Methodology

Consumer Research
Sampling & Weighting
Presentation & Definition
Further Analysis
Trade Research
Informal trade research
Formal trade research
Desk & Internet Research
Sources
Definitions
Forecasts
Appendix: What Is Mintel?

Mintel Reports
Tracking Information
Global New Products Database
Comperemedia®
Mintel Services
POS+
Mintel Consultancy

Tracking Information
Global New Products Database
Comperemedia®
Mintel Services
POS+
Mintel Con


Companies Mentioned General Mills, Inc. (Yoplait, Colombo) Kraft Foods, Inc. (Breyers Yogurt) The Dannon Company, Inc. Marigold (Kemp’s Dairy) Stonyfield Farm


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