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Ice Cream in the United States


Description:
The FDM packaged ice cream market grew 17% in current dollars, or 3% in constant 2004 dollars, from 1999-2004, fueled by unprecedented levels of product innovation and the emergence of a better-for-you sector that transformed the look of the ice cream aisle. The $6.8 billion category comprises a wide variety of products including ice cream, frozen yogurt, frozen soy-based desserts, sherbet, sorbet, ices, and frozen novelties. The majority of product innovation that took place over the period was focused on ice cream and frozen novelties, leading those segments to steal attention and market share from frozen yogurt, sherbet, sorbet and ices.

Ice cream, the largest segment which accounted for 59% of 2004 dollar sales, grew 14% over the period from 1999-2004, driven by an onrush of new products designed to meet the needs of both indulgence-seekers and health-conscious consumers. In the premium ice cream sector, manufacturers launched dozens of indulgent, new flavors--many featuring big chunks of popular candies, cookies, brownies--in an effort to defend themselves against the swift expansion of ice cream chains like Cold Stone Creamery and Marble Slab Creamery, where consumers choose their own concoction of candy, cookie, and other mix-in ingredients. On the other end of the ice cream spectrum, in the burgeoning better-for-you sector, manufacturers launched myriad low-carb and light ice cream products in response to the growing popularity of low-carb diets and heightened consumer concern about obesity.

The frozen novelties segment grew faster than any other segment over the period. Sales of novelties increased 30%, driven by an influx of new, better-for-you offerings, as well as a high level of co-branding that helped raise product awareness.

Share in the ice cream market became increasingly concentrated over the period due to a series of mergers and acquisitions. Two companies--Unilever and Dryer’s Grand Ice Cream Holdings--together accounted for nearly 43% of sales in 2004. Industry consolidation has resulted in an increasingly competitive environment where the market leaders are investing more in marketing and new product development in order to protect and grow their investments. Given this environment, Mintel expects that the category will continue to grow at a moderate pace over the next several years.

This report examines the U.S. market for ice cream and frozen novelty products that are purchased for home consumption. It does not include ice cream and frozen novelty products purchased from roadside stands, concessions, vending machines or kiosks. Also excluded are ice cream purchases at ice cream shops, soda fountains, fast food restaurants, or other eateries, which may be intended either for on-the-go eating or for at-home consumption.

This report contains US IRI InfoScan data.


Contents:

Introduction and Abbreviations
Introduction
Other relevant reports
Definition
Abbreviations & terms
Abbreviations
Terms
Executive Summary
Growing market fueled by product innovation
Ice cream and frozen novelties drive category growth
Industry consolidation
Advertising spending low but increasing
Channel shift from supermarkets to value and easy in-and-out formats
The ice cream consumer
Everyone loves ice cream
Brand loyalty
The future of packaged ice cream
Market Drivers

A trend towards industry consolidation
Healthier eating trend
Low-carbohydrate diet trend
Childhood obesity epidemic
Record level of product innovation
Figure 1: Number of new ice cream products launched, 1999-2005
Figure 2: Graph: Ice cream new product launches, 1999-2005*
Figure 3: Product positioning claims of new product launches, 2004
Premium products on the rise
Frozen novelty segment seeing increased innovation
Aging population
Figure 4: U.S. population projections, by age, 2005-2010
Figure 5: Types of ice cream consumed by households, by age of head of household, January-September 2004
Competition from scoop shops
Market Size & Trends
Figure 6: FDM sales of ice cream, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004
Figure 7: Graph: Trends in FDM sales of ice cream, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004
Market Segmentation
Overview
Figure 8: FDM sales of ice cream products, by type, 2002 and 2004
Figure 9: Graph: FDM sales of ice cream, by product type, 2004
Ice cream
Figure 10: FDM sales of ice cream, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004
Frozen novelties
Figure 11: FDM sales of frozen novelties, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004
Sherbet, sorbet and ices
Figure 12: FDM sales of sherbet, sorbet and ices, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004
Frozen yogurt and tofu
Figure 13: FDM sales of frozen yogurt and tofu, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004
Supply Structure

Foreign trade
Imports
Figure 14: Ice cream and other edible ice product imports, by source country/region, 2003 and 2004
Exports
Figure 15: Ice cream and other edible ice product exports, by destination country/region, 2003 and 2004
Company and brand sales
FDM sales by manufacturer
Figure 16: FDM sales of ice cream products*, by manufacturer sales, 2003 and 2004
Figure 17: Graph: FDM sales of ice cream, by manufacturer, 2004
FDM sales by manufacturer & brand
Ice cream
Figure 18: FDM sales of ice cream, by manufacturer and brand, 2003 and 2004
Frozen novelties
Figure 19: FDM sales of frozen novelties, by manufacturer and brand, 2003 and 2004
Frozen yogurt/tofu, sherbet, sorbet and ices
Figure 20: FDM sales of frozen yogurt/tofu, sherbet, sorbet and ices, by manufacturer and brand, 2003 and 2004
Major manufacturers and brands
Unilever
Dreyer’s Grand Ice Cream Holdings, Inc.
CoolBrands International, Inc.
Blue Bell Creameries, L.P.
Wells’ Dairy Inc.
HP Hood LLC
Turkey Hill Dairy
Advertising & Promotion
Introduction
Industry-wide promotion
Major companies and brands
Unilever
Dreyer’s Grand Ice Cream Holdings, Inc.
CoolBrands International, Inc.
Blue Bell Creameries, L.P.
Retail Distribution

Introduction
Figure 21: FDM sales of ice cream products, by channel, 2002 and 2004
Supermarkets
Figure 22: Supermarket sales of ice cream products, at current and constant prices, 1999-2004
Drug stores
Mass merchandisers and clubs
The role of Wal-Mart
Figure 23: Graph: Wal-Mart sales, 1994-2004
Convenience stores
Dollar stores
The Consumer

Introduction
Household consumption of ice cream
Figure 24: Household consumption of ice cream, January-September 2004
Figure 25: Household consumption of ice cream, by age of head of household, January-September 2004
Figure 26: Consumption of ice cream, by presenece of children in household, January-September 2004
Figure 27: Consumption of ice cream, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2004
Type, brand and amount of ice cream consumed by households
Figure 28: Types, brands and amount of ice cream consumed by households, January-September 2004
Figure 29: Types, brands and amount of ice cream consumed by households, by age of head of household, January-September 2004
Figure 30: Types, brands and amount of ice cream consumed by households, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2004
Figure 31: Types, brands and amount of ice cream consumed by households, by presence of children in household, January-September 2004
Frozen yogurt
Personal consumption of frozen yogurt
Figure 32: Consumption of frozen yogurt, January-September 2004
Figure 33: Consumption of frozen yogurt, by gender, January-September 2004
Consumption of frozen yogurt by type, sole brand usage, and quantity
Figure 34: Types and quantity of frozen yogurt consumed, January-September 2004
Figure 35: Types and quantity of frozen yogurt consumed, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2004
Brand loyalty
Figure 36: Brand loyalty in ice cream purchases, April 2005
Figure 37: Brand loyalty in ice cream purchases, by age, April 2005
Attitudes towards ice cream
Figure 38: Opinions about ice cream, April 2005
Figure 39: Opinions about ice cream, by age, January 2004-September 2004
Where ice cream is purchased
Figure 40: Where respondents purchase ice cream, April 2005
Figure 41: Where respondents purchase ice cream, by age, April 2005
Figure 42: Where respondents purchase ice cream, by presence of children, April 2005
Kids’ and teens’ consumption of ice cream
Figure 43: Kids’ & teens’ consumption of ice cream, January-September 2004
Summary and conclusions
Future & Forecast
Future trends
High level of innovation will continue
More better-for-you products
More indulgent products
More co-branding
More ethnic flavors
More products targeted to older adults
Ice cream positioned as the “healthy” dessert
Growth in alternative channels
Market forecast
Overview
Figure 44: Forecast of total FDM sales of ice cream products, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Figure 45: Graph: Forecast trends in FDM sales of ice cream products, current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Ice cream
Figure 46: Forecast of FDM sales of ice cream, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Frozen novelties
Figure 47: Forecast of FDM sales of frozen novelties, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Sherbet, sorbet, and ices
Figure 48: Forecast of FDM sales of sherbet, sorbet, and ices, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Frozen yogurt and tofu
Figure 49: Forecast of FDM sales of frozen yogurt and tofu, at current and constant prices, 2004-2009
Forecast factors
Product innovation
Dietary factors
Health and obesity factors
Appendix: Trade Associations

National & international associations
Regional associations
State associations
Appendix: New Product Briefs

Blue Bell Creameries: Blue Bell Tropical Passion Ice Cream
Kemp’s Ice Cream: Kemps Pillsbury Frozen Novelties
Good Humor-Breyers: Breyers Ice Cream Repackaging
HP Hood: Hood Fat Free Frozen Yogurt
Ben & Jerry’s Homemade: Ben & Jerry’s Half Baked Cookie Dough Ice Cream Bar
Edy’s Grand Ice Cream: Edy’s Slow Churned Rich & Creamy Light Ice Cream
Friendly Ice Cream: Friendly’s No Sugar Added Light Ice Cream
Unilever: Popsicle Marvel Fantastic Four Flavored Ice Pops
Kemp’s Ice Cream: Kemps Live Healthy Frozen Novelties
Edy’s Grand Ice Cream: Edy’s Dibs Bite Sized Ice Cream Snacks
Appendix: Research Methodology

Consumer Research
Sampling & Weighting
TechnoMetrica TechnoExpresssm
ICR Surveys EXCEL
Simmons National Consumer Surveys
Greenfield Online
Presentation & Definition
Further Analysis
Trade Research
Informal trade research
Formal trade research
Desk & Internet Research
Sources
Definitions
Forecasts
Appendix: What is Mintel?
Mintel Group
Mintel Reports
Mintel Premier
Mintel ECLIPS
GNPD
Menu Insights
Comperemedia
Brokertrack
Mintel Services
Applied Research
Mintel Consulting
POS+


Companies Mentioned Unilever Dreyer’s Grand Ice Cream Holdings, Inc. CoolBrands International, Inc. Blue Bell Creameries, L.P. Wells’ Dairy Inc. HP Hood LLC Turkey Hill Dairy


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