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Ukraine Metals Report Q1 2015

  • ID: 3058424
  • December 2014
  • Region: Ukraine
  • 50 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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FEATURED COMPANIES

  • ArcelorMittal
  • Company Details
  • Company Overview
  • Company Strategy
  • Financial Data
  • Latest Financial Results
  • MORE

After back-to-back years of contraction in both production and consumption in the metals sector in the Ukraine between 2012 and 2013, the sector turned a corner last year. Despite being rocked by the ongoing conflict with Russia and the subsequent political and economic uncertainty BMI estimates that the sector bounced back to post a 3.5% y-o-y gain in output and a 3.1% y-o-y increase in use. Going forward,, Ukraine's metals sector will see modest growth over our forecast period to the end of 2018, with a handful of new projects to increase production growth. Production will not return to pre-crisis highs,
however, due to global overcapacity and steel prices not making substantive gains over 2013 - they have,
however, since improved. There are no major expansions on the cards, and no major players in either the aluminium or steel industries have announced substantial investment plans.

Figures recorded during the first eight months of 2014 have certainly been supportive of this view. Metals trader Ukrainian Mining and Metallurgical Company has published data that shows that Ukrainian exports of steel products grew by 2.3% y-o-y to 17.9mn tonnes in January-August 2014 (latest available data).

Ukraine's exports of pig iron totalled 1.6mn tonnes in the reported period, up by 22% y-o-y during the same time period. The country's imports of steel products increased by 39.5% y-o-y to 883,000 tonnes in January-
August 2014, while its import revenues generated by steel products fell by 44.8% y-o-y to USD877mn.

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
2 of 4

FEATURED COMPANIES

  • ArcelorMittal
  • Company Details
  • Company Overview
  • Company Strategy
  • Financial Data
  • Latest Financial Results
  • MORE

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Metals SWOT 9

Industry Forecast 11

Steel: Growth Story On Hold 11

Growth To Pick Up Thanks To Construction 11
Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2010-2018) 15
Table: Ukraine - Steel Industry Historical Data, 2004-2013 ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise) 15

Commodities Forecast 16

Monthly Metals Strategy 16

Ferrous Metals 16

Non-Ferrous Metals 19
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 26

Steel: Prices To Head Higher From 2016 27
Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast 27

Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months) 27

Long-Term Outlook 28

Production: Chinese Rationalisation Measures To Bite 29

Consumption: Slowing Demand Growth On The Horizon 30

Burgeoning Chinese Exports Will Not Last 31

Eurozone Growth Downgrade Highlights Long Road To Recovery 32

Risks To Price Forecast 32
Table: Steel Data & Forecasts 33

Competitive Landscape 34
Table: Largest European Listed Metals Producers 36

Company Profile 39

RUSAL 39

Latest Results 43
Table: Rusal - Supply Chain Analysis 44
Table: RUSAL - Key Financial Data 44

ArcelorMittal 45

Company Overview 47

Company Strategy 47

Latest Financial Results 49

Company Details 49

Financial Data 49
Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data 49

Methodology 50

Cross Checks 50

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RUSAL
Latest Results
ArcelorMittal
Company Overview
Company Strategy
Latest Financial Results
Company Details
Financial Data

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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