Austria Metals Report Q1 2015

  • ID: 3058463
  • December 2014
  • Region: Austria
  • 40 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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BMI View: BMI's latest Austria Metals Report assesses the prospects for growth in the steel industry over the medium term following a return to growth in output and a continuation in year-on-year (y-o-y) growth in consumption during the 2013 full-year. Within it, our forecasts for the industry run out to 2018. The report examines the risk and investment strategies of leading players in the industry. It also examines the impact of a decline in the eurozone, particularly the German market, on Austrian exports.

The performance of Austria's steel industry returned to growth once more in 2013, after deteriorating by 0.6% in 2012. Indeed in 2013, crude output increased by 0.5% to 7.46mnt. BMI estimates that consumption levels continued their upward trend for the fourth year running in 2013, rising by 1.2% from 4.78mnt as at December 31 2012 to 4.84mnt a year later. Going forward, BMI is forecasting both output and consumption to increase in 2014 by 0.8% and 1.0%, respectively, y-o-y. Looking further ahead into 2015, while we forecast consumption to continue accelerating, we see production contracting in volume once more to close the year at 7.443mnt compared with 7.518mnt a year earlier.

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BMI Industry View 5


Metals SWOT 8

Industry Forecast 10

Steel: Little Growth Ahead 10
Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Austria 2010-2018) 12
Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Austria 2005-2012) 13

Commodities Forecast 14

Commodity Strategy 14

Ferrous Metals 15

Non-Ferrous Metals: 18

Aluminium: Prices To Remain Elevated Following Recent Dip 18

Copper: Chinese Weakness To Create Further Headwinds 19

Nickel: No Sustained Rally Ahead 21

Zinc: Subdued Short-Term Outlook Before Multi-Year Gains 24
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 25

Steel: Prices To Head Higher From 2016 26
Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast 26

Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months) 26

Long-Term Outlook 27

Production: Chinese Rationalisation Measures To Bite 28

Consumption: Slowing Demand Growth On The Horizon 29

Burgeoning Chinese Exports Will Not Last 30

Eurozone Growth Downgrade Highlights Long Road To Recovery 31

Risks To Price Forecast 31
Table: Steel Data & Forecasts 32

Competitive Landscape 33
Table: Europe - Major Listed Metal Producers 34

Company Profile 37

Voestalpine 37
Table: Voestalpine - Financial Results 39

Methodology 40

Cross Checks 40

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