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Pakistan Real Estate Report Q1 2015

  • ID: 3071276
  • January 2015
  • Region: Pakistan
  • 70 pages
  • Business Monitor International
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BMI View: Pakistan's commercial real estate sector is underdeveloped, with long-term security problems and unstable politics having served to deter investment into the sector. Although we see this situation continuing, at least in the short term, in the long term there are significant opportunities as prices are low,
meaning potential yields are high, and there is considerable room to expand and modernise Pakistan's stock of commercial real estate.

Improved regulations surrounding the creation of real estate investment trusts (REITs) could pave the way for increased investment via this format, and lead to more Pakistani investment being directed into the home market rather than overseas.

We forecast Pakistan's real GDP growth rate will be around 4.1% a year over our forecast period to 2018.

The economy is held back by concerns over the security situation and political tensions. However, we believe that the government remains committed to policies designed to improve the business environment and increase investment into Pakistan, which should in the long term benefit the commercial real estate industry.

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BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 11

Economic 13

Industry Forecast 14

Office 15
Table: Forecast Office Rental Rates, 2015-2016 (USD per sq m per month) 15
Table: Forecast Office Net Yields, 2011-2018 (%) 16

Retail 17
Table: Forecast Retail Rent Rates, 2015-2016 (USD per sq m per month) 17
Table: Forecast Retail Net Yields, 2011-2018 (%) 18

Industrial 19
Table: Forecast Industrial Rental Rates, 2015-2016 (USD per sq m per month) 20
Table: Forecast Industrial Net Yields, 2011-2018 21

Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 23
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Pakistan 2013-2018) 23
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Pakistan 2019-2024) 24

Macroeconomic Forecast 33

Economic Activity 33
Table: Economic Activity (Pakistan 2009-2018) 36

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 37

Asia - Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Asia - Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 37

Pakistan Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 38

Rewards 38

Risks 39

Market Overview 40

Islamabad 42

Lahore 43

Karachi 43

Office 44
Table: Historical Net Yields, 2013-2014 (%) 45
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2013-2014 (USD per square metre per month) 45
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H114 46

Retail 46
Table: Historical Net Yields, 2013-2014 (%) 49
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2013-2014 (USD per sq m per month) 49
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H114 50

Industrial 50
Table: Historical Net Yields, 2013-2014 (%) 52
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2013-2014 (USD per sq m per month) 53
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H114 53

Competitive Landscape 54

Real Estate Companies 55

Company Profile 58

Bestway Cement 58

Demographic Forecast 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025) 64

Methodology 66

Industry Forecast Methodology 66

Sources 67

Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 70

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Bestway Cement

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