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Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis - A New Hope
Datamonitor, Aug 2005, Pages: 127


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Introduction

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is a devastating, relentlessly progressive and lethal disease for which current therapy is minimally effective. However, several promising anti-fibrotic agents, such as Enbrel (etanercept), are now in clinical trials, which may lead to significant improvements in disease survival and create a new high-value indication, estimated to be worth up to $2 billion annually.

Scope

- Examination of the impact of novel drugs on future treatment, supported by interviews with key opinion leaders

- Assessment of the trends in epidemiology to 2015, including the impact of changing demographics and improvements in diagnosis

- Discussion of the challenges to future clinical trial design, including optimization of patient recruitment and inclusion of novel endpoints

- Case study forecasting the global sales of Enbrel (etanercept) to 2015

Highlights

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis has a five-year survival rate of 20%, affecting 218,000 people in the global market, of which 60% or 125,000, are diagnosed. The aging of the population, combined with improvements in diagnosis, will result in a 40% increase in the diagnosed patient population to 146,000 by 2015.

Novel therapies which demonstrate progression-free survival will be initiated at diagnosis rather than limited to those patients with advanced disease, analogous to the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis or a malignancy, and will create an estimated market of up to $2 billion annually.

Future clinical trials should exclude patients with stable minimal to moderate and end-stage disease to ensure maximum response to therapy. The inclusion of acute exacerbation and pharmacoeconomic endpoints is vital, as is ensuring aggressive treatment with a novel drug that does not exacerbate pulmonary infections.

Reasons to Purchase

- Identify the long-term patient potential and market segmentation of Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

- Gain insight into the current challenges and commercial opportunities associated with this devastating disease

- Explore the strengths and weaknesses associated with compounds in clinical development



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